Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 251350
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR STAG FLETCHER SPRINGS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
750 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0827 MDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

..COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND GUSTY WINDS SUNDAY...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY AND
WILL PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY. WINDS WILL BE
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH MINIMUM RH`S AROUND 25 PERCENT. UPPER
RIDGE WILL BEGIN BREAKING DOWN OVERNIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THE TROUGH WILL DRAG A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE BURN SITE BETWEEN 1 PM AND 2 PM SUNDAY.
WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE
POSSIBLE BEHIND THE FRONT TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 TENTHS OF AN INCH. GOOD
MIXING AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH NEAR
70 DEGREES. RH`S WILL FALL INTO THE MID 20 PERCENT RANGE BEFORE
RISING AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

TIME (MDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............47     58     67     69     65
RH..............55     36     25     23     26
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   E 5    SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
TEMP............63     58     54     52     51     49
RH..............28     36     44     49     52     56
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   S 2    SW 5   SW 5   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      10     10     10
RIDGETOP WIND...W 20   W 20   W 20   W 20   W 20   W 20

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
TEMP............49     51     57     63     68     62
RH..............59     54     43     32     27     29
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 2    NW 3   NW 12  NW 12  NW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      20     20     25
RIDGETOP WIND...W 20   W 20   W 20   W 20   W 20   W 20

$$
FORECASTER...RICHMOND
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BERGMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141025.STAGF.01/BYZ



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