Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 161502
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK  3...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
902 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL MIX DOWN TO THE BURN AREA EACH AFTERNOON WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 25 MPH. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL WORK INTO THE
AREA MID TO LATE WEEK. BEST CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN WILL BE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. CURRENT THINKING IS BULK OF THE
MOISTURE WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE BURN AREA...BUT SHOULD IT PUSH
FURTHER NORTH WETTING RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY FOR
LATE WEEK. PRECIPITATION TOTAL THROUGH SATURDAY LOOK TO BE
GENERALLY LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH...BUT IF THAT MONSOONAL
MOISTURE PUSHES FURTHER NORTH MORE PRECIPITATION WOULD BE
POSSIBLE. NO SNOW IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS AT LEAST.
CHAMBERS

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WIND 8 TO 18 MPH...OCCASIONAL GUST TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWN SLOPE/VALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH
HAINES INDEX........4.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST 8 TO 18 MPH...OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...CHAMBERS
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN GETTINGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140917.MILLC.01/BYZ


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