Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 282330
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROANE CREEK...CODY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
530 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1709 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MONSOON MOISTURE STREAMING INTO THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE REGION
WILL SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WHICH COULD IMPACT THE FIRE SITE
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CURRENT ACTIVITY OVER THE SOUTHERN END OF
THE BIG HORNS WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE SITE...BUT A BETTER CHANCE WILL
DEVELOP AFTER DARK AS STORMS FORMING OVER THE ABSAROKA RANGE MOVE
TOWARDS THE BIG HORNS. STORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED AND HAVE A CHANCE OF
GUSTY WINDS AND LITTLE RAIN. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES WARMER
THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS.

TUESDAY WILL SEE MORE CLOUD COVER OVER THE SITE AND THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOP EARLIER IN THE AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS A CHANCE FOR THE STORMS
TO BE WETTER. THE CLOUDS WILL KEEP SLOPE AND VALLEY WINDS A BIT
LIGHTER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. MOISTURE WILL DECREASE A BIT LATER
ON TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NOT AS NUMEROUS ON
WEDNESDAY. BORSUM

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING SHIFTING
                    TO LIGHT DOWNSLOPE OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................21 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................19 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER DARK.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...BORSUM
REQUESTED BY...JACK TATUM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.ROANE.01/BYZ


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