Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FNUS72 KCAE 131301
FWSCAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR FTG TA31...DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
801 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON JANUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE FEEDBACK INCLUDING OBSERVATIONS TAKEN AT
THE BURN SITE WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. YOU CAN USE THE SAME
WEBPAGE WHERE YOU REQUESTED THE SPOT FORECAST FOR THIS. YOU MAY
ALSO CALL OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS.

.DISCUSSION...
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY WITH LIGHT W/SW
WINDS. ANY PATCHY FOG OBSERVED AT THE SPOT SITE WILL BURN OFF
QUICKLY THIS MORNING. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 40 PERCENT
THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS MAY BE VARIABLE AT TIMES GIVEN HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE AREA. WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
MOISTURE SHOULD SUPPORT ABOVE NORMAL MIXING HEIGHTS THIS
AFTERNOON.

A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT BUT MAY
NOT PUSH AS FAR SOUTH AS THE SPOT LOCATION. WE EXPECT FOG AND LOW
CLOUDS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING IN THE CSRA WITH
INCREASED MOISTURE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. ANY PRECIPITATION WILL
REMAIN NORTH OF THE SPOT SITE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 7 MPH.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................7...INCREASING TO 20 IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 10 LATE.

TIME (EST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........26  26  28  31  32  32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............70  73  75  76  76  73
RH..............61  55  52  50  52  57
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND DIR..270 270 270 270 280 260
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   6   6   5   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............19  23  20  20  17  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................1.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........33     33     33     42     49     60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
TEMP............70     64     58     55     53     52
RH..............63     78     96     100    100    100
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 1   SW 2   W 2    W 1    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5                    5
MIX HGT (FT)....800    400    200    200    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   W 2    NW 2
LVORI...........3      4      8      10     10     10
ADI.............1      1      1      1      1      1
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................7...INCREASING TO 11 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........64        70        64        61
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10        10        10        10
TEMP............52        60        66        66
RH..............100       81        70        68
20 FT WIND......N 2G5     NE 2G5    E 2G5     NE 2G5
MIX HGT (FT)....200       500       1700      2000
TRANSPORT WIND..N 2       NE 3      SE 3      SE 5
LVORI...........10        5         3         3
ADI.............2         3         7         11
LAL.............1         1         1         1

$$
FORECASTER...ROHRBACH
REQUESTED BY...ALLEN BRASWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700282.2/CAE



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