Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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FNUS72 KCAE 300927
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for DP10 Rx...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Columbia SC
527 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Positive or negative feedback including observations taken at
the burn site would be greatly appreciated. You can use the same
webpage where you requested the spot forecast for this. You may
also call our office if you have questions or concerns.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure ridging into the forecast area
from the Atlantic will dominate through today. This high has
directed high low-level moisture into the area from off the
Atlantic. Low cloudiness will occur this morning but fog will
be limited because of wind. Heating and mixing will break up
this cloudiness late this morning or early this afternoon.
Strong heating may help support afternoon thunderstorms but
the chance is very low because of the ridging and shallow
moisture. Mixing should continue to limit fog through tonight.
It will be breezy this afternoon. Wind gusts will be near 20 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent), then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 14 mph with gusts around 20
                    mph this afternoon.
Mixing height.......700-2300 ft AGL, increasing to 3100-4700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 25 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Max ADI.............59.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........99  85  80  69  58  52  49  43  40
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   5   8   10  10  10  14  14  10
Temp............74  79  82  83  85  85  85  85  85
RH..............90  77  71  68  62  60  59  57  56
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind dir..180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180 180
20 FT wind spd..12  13  14  14  13  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.5 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7
Trasnp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  17  18  18  18  18  18  20  20
LVORI...........4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............18  28  38  45  50  54  54  59  59
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL, decreasing to 300-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Min ADI.............10.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........35     21     21     29     52     68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
Temp............83     78     77     74     72     70
RH..............60     71     67     74     81     87
20 ft wind......S 13   S 11   S 10   S 12   S 13   S 12
20 ft wind gust.20     15     15     20     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....4700   900    900    700    500    500
Transport wind..S 20   S 17   S 13   S 12   S 13   S 13
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      4      5
ADI.............59     15     11     10     11     11
LAL.............2      1      1      1      2      2

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0800, then 16-25 strikes
                    until 0900, then 9-15 strikes until 1000, then
                    16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500-1800 ft AGL, increasing to 2500-3700 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph, becoming southwest 24 to 30
                    mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Max ADI.............77.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........77        86        78        86
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     CHANCE    LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).20        20        40        70
Temp............69        74        81        84
RH..............90        79        63        55
20 FT wind......S 13G20   S 14G20   S 15G25   S 16G30
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1300      2900      3500
Transport wind..S 13      S 16      S 24      S 30
LVORI...........5         3         1         1
ADI.............11        24        57        77
LAL.............2         4         4         4

$$
Forecaster...Linton
Requested by...Paul Ryan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1708001.1/CAE



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