Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 271122
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 210 Deerhead West...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
622 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on February 27.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
Very dry air at the surface this morning - with most locations
right around 30 percent RH - will gradually moisten in the west.
Some light rain will move into the western and very central
counties this afternoon and continue through the early evening.
The temperatures will rise about 10 degrees higher than Sunday.

Some very light rain will linger over the north through the middle
of the night. The warm up will continue on Tuesday with showers
moving in from the west in the afternoon. A strong cold front will
move through late in the day Wed with strong thunderstorms possible
before the front and gusty west winds and rapidly falling
temperatures after the front passes - much like Saturday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent)...then becoming
                    cloudy (90-100 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming southwest 5
                    to 8 mph with gusts up to 20 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1000 ft AGL...increasing to 2700-4500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning...then increasing to
                    3900-5800 ft AGL in the afternoon...decreasing
                    to 2600 ft AGL late.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph...increasing to 13 to 20
                    mph late in the morning.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  89  96  100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  40  41  44  45  46  47  45
RH..............48  44  42  39  38  37  37  41
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  20  20  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 2.7 4.5 5.8 5.8 5.0 3.9 2.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  15  17  18  20  20  17  13

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......0-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 8 mph.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........100    98     89     81     76     62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............44     42     41     40     38     36
RH..............45     55     62     67     73     79
20 ft wind......SW 4   SW 2   S 2    S 2    S 2    S 3
20 ft wind gust.10     5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   BLW100 100    BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..S 8    S 2    SE 3   SE 3   SE 2   SE 2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). A chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming south 6 to
                    8 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1300 ft AGL...increasing to 2200-3400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 10 mph...increasing to 14 to 23 mph
                    in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........49     48     56     65     69     80
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............35     41     47     51     54     57
RH..............89     76     68     61     61     62
20 ft wind......SW 2   S 2    S 2    S 5    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      10     20     25
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 BLW100 600    2200   3300   3200
Transport wind..SE 2   SE 2   SE 3   S 10   S 18   S 23

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/Dangelo
Requested by...Jonathan Weaver
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702959.0/CTP
.EMAIL jonweaver@pa.gov


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