Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Eureka, CA

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540
FNUS76 KEKA 302338
FWSEKA

SPOT FORECAST FOR TULE CREEK UNIT 4...WATERSHED RESEARCH AND TRAINING CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
438 PM PDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BEGIN TONIGHT RESULTING IN LOWER RH RECOVERIES IN
THE MOUNTAINS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 4 TO 7 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

MAX HUMIDITY........80 TO 85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT DOWNSLOPE WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 TO 28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 MPH.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
AFTERNOON RH GRADUALLY INCREASING TO NEAR 35 PERCENT BY WEDNESDAY.
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES REMAINING GOOD IN THE VALLEYS AND IMPROVING
SIGNIFICANTLY ON THE SURROUNDING RIDGES.

$$
FORECASTER...AYLWARD
REQUESTED BY...GEORGE P  CHAPMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160501.TULEC.01/EKA



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