Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 251646
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBER...NM STATE/USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1046 AM MDT MON JUL 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1017 MDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ONE MORE DAY WITH HOT AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS IS ON TAP...BEFORE
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE AREA AND RAISES RH VALUES ROUGHLY
5-10 PERCENT EACH DAY THROUGH MID WEEK. CIRCULATION AROUND HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND SOUTHERN NEVADA...WILL GENERALLY STEER
STORMS FROM NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST OR EAST TO WEST OVER NEXT FEW DAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...DOWNBURST WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH HAIL AND RAPID RUNOFF ARE THE MAIN THREATS
WITH THIS ACTIVITY.  DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO RETURN AS EARLY AS THURSDAY
RESULTING IN FEWER STORMS...BUT AN INCREASING DRY LIGHTNING THREAT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4100 FT AGL MID MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    9600-10700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 4800 FT AGL LATE IN THE DAY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (60600 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) WITH SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO -100-300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 9400-10400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING
                    TO 4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 KNOTS.
MAX VENT RATE.......POOR (41600 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160725.TIMBE.01/EPZ


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