Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 222117
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BYRD RANCH...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
317 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1500 CST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF
THE AFTERNOON DUE TO HIGH WIND GUSTS. GUSTS TO AROUND 30 TO 35
MPH WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH AROUND SUNSET AND
THEN DIMINISH TO UNDER 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 65 TO 70 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MONDAY WITH LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...HOWEVER WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MUCH WEAKER.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 22 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1   1   0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1
TEMP............64  64  63
RH..............37  34  31
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..23  20  18
20 FT WIND GUST.35  35  30
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.14  12  11
EYE LVL WND GST.35  35  30
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 3.0 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.28  23  20
HAINES INDEX....5   5   6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    100-400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............60  59  56  53  51  49  47  46  45  44  43  42
RH..............33  34  40  44  50  54  58  60  62  65  67  67
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..17  13  9   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.25  20  15  10                              5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  8   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
EYE LVL WND GST.25  20  15  10                              5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  14  12  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   6   6
HAINES INDEX....6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   1   1   2   3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............42  44  47  51  57  63  68  72  74  74  72  69
RH..............67  65  60  54  43  35  29  26  25  25  27  31
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5           5       10  10  15  15  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   1   1   2   3   4   4   5   5   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5           5       10  10  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.3 3.6 2.7 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   7   9   10  13  14  15  14  13  12  9   8
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...76
REQUESTED BY...SAMANTHA HAMRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1700631.0/EWX
.EMAIL SHAMRICK@TFS.TAMU.EDU


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