Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FNUS75 KFGZ 271147
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Myrtle Prescribed Fire...USFS Tonto National Forest, Payson Ranger
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
447 AM MST Thu Jul 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 MST on July 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...
Typical late morning to early evening thunderstorms are expected
today and continuing into the weekend.


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........Near 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light, predominantly upslope, winds. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Lal.................3.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Mixing height.......600 ft agl increasing to 7600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph shifting to the west 5 to 10
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms, mainly in the early evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........80 to 90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Lal.................3.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Mixing height.......5000 ft agl early in the evening decreasing to
                    900 ft agl in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south 5 to 10
                    mph after midnight.


.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........Near 45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light, predominantly upslope, winds. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Lal.................3.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until late afternoon increasing to
                    3500 ft agl late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west 5
                    to 10 mph in the afternoon.

$$

Forecaster...DANIEL
Requested by...Danny Whatley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1713462.0/FGZ
.EMAIL dwhatley@fs.fed.us



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