Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 221617
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR A-1 MTN...USFS - COCONINO NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
917 AM MST WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0920 MST ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE BURN SITE THROUGH THURSDAY. LIGHT
WINDS ALOFT WILL LEAD TO MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN SURFACE WINDS
MUCH OF THE TIME TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THOUGH SPEEDS SHOULD
REMAIN LIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 TO 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 35 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST TO
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (29800 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......298.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 4600
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29 TO 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 TO 100 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH OR LESS.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (300 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 5 KT OR LESS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63 TO 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 TO 32 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST TO
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......FAIR (21700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......217.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO 3200
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...JOHNDROW
REQUESTED BY...BRAD WILLIAMS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141022.A1MTN.01/FGZ






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