Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 300352
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASF PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
952 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN OPEN WAVE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY KEEPING
UNSETTLED WEATHER IN THE FORECAST. ISOLATED PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND BECOMING SCATTERED AFTER 12PM. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT EXCEPT UNDER ANY HEAVIER SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS AND WILL KEEP CLEARING INDICES LOW. ON
SATURDAY...ANOTHER WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE
INCREASING CHANCES FOR A QUICK SHOWER OR STORM. A DEEP LOW WILL
ALSO START DROPPING DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST AND WILL CAUSE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN. THIS TIGHTENING WILL INCREASE WINDS
WITH SOME GUSTS REACHING 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL ALSO
ALLOW CLEARING INDICES TO REACH ABOVE 1000 IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......250.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CLEARING INDEX......250 DECREASING TO 100 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......700 INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160930.ASFPI.01/GJT



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