Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 180416
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MYERS CR RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1016 PM MDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST TODAY AS A PACIFIC SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THIS STORM SYSTEM
WILL BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY. SNOW LEVELS
BE RUNNING AROUND 10,000 FEET...BUT COULD DROP LOWER IN STRONG
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS. ALSO BE PREPARED FOR ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS
NEAR SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN WEST WINDS INCREASING TO 6-12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0930...
                    THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11200 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    ...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH BY
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT)
                    BY 2300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL BY 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN BECOMING GOOD BY 1200. EXCEPT EXCELLENT
                    IN AND NEAR SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6200 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...JIM RAMIREZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.MYERS.01/GJT



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