Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 272340
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYCAMP...DURANGO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
540 PM MDT MON JUL 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1704 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE FIRE
TUESDAY WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT. MOISTURE SLOWLY RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL BRING
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION AFTER 1300.

.TODAY (TUESDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH. AFTERNOON GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN BECOMING GOOD BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    9600 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16  17  17  17  20  22  27  27  27  22  26  24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE..........................................
TSTM COV........NONE..........................................
TEMP............48  50  54  58  62  66  68  70  70  70  70  70
RH..............36  34  34  30  30  26  24  23  23  23  23  23
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (FT)....4500>>>>>5500>>>6500>>>8500>>>9600>>>>>>>>>>>>
TRANS WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANS WIND SPD..8   8   9   9   10  10  10  12  12  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT (TUESDAY NIGHT)

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........39-44%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL
                    2000...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    0-4 MPH BY 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LESS THAN 7500 KNOT-FT) BY
                    2200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN DECREASING TO
                    1800 FT AGL BY 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-4 MPH UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN NORTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN BECOMING GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    11500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...LANOUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150727.HAYCA.02/GJT



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