Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS73 KGRR 121056
FWSGRR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CBA_ FORT CUSTER_#9...FCTC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
656 AM EDT Thu Oct 12 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (616) 949-5150, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VERY STABLE TODAY DUE TO LOW CLOUDS HANGING
AROUND FOR THE ENTIRE DAY. THIS WILL LIMIT MIXING AND SMOKE DISPERSAL.
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT WARM MUCH, AND RH`S WILL ONLY BOTTOM OUT IN THE
LOWER 70 PERCENT RANGE. CLOUDS WILL BREAK ON FRIDAY WITH SOMEWHAT DRIER
WEATHER EXPECTED. WET WEATHER IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
RH..................83 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WINDS GRADUALLY BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE MAX 2500
                    FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 /POOR/ AT IGNITION. MAX...250 /FAIR/.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........86     87     85     82     81     84
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............50     52     56     59     60     60
RH..............93     86     77     75     72     72
20 FT WIND......NE 9   NE 9   E 9    E 8   SE 8   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1400   2100   2300   2500   2200
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      3      3
SMOKE DISPERSAL 100    140    210    230    250    220

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3200-3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...JERUZAL
REQUESTED BY...TONI AGUILAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717145.0/GRR
.EMAIL TONI.AGUILAR@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV



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