Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 042324
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for RICHARDSON SAR...GREAT SMOKY MTNS NP
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
624 PM EST Mon Dec 4 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 1900 EST on December 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure moves off the New England coast tonight as a strong
cold front approaches across Tennessee.  This cold front crosses our
region Tuesday evening. Below normal temperatures will persist from
late this week through much of next week. Wintry precipitation will
be possible late this week in the mountains and perhaps other areas
as well.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening,
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph after midnight.
Ceiling (FT)........18000, decreasing to 600.0.
Visibility (SM).....8.

TIME (EST)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30  37  44  50  57  64  71  75  79  83  86
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............54  52  51  49  48  47  47  46  45  45  44
RH..............57  61  63  65  69  74  76  82  87  93  98
Aparnt tmp (F)..54  52  49  48  46  45  45  44  43  42  41
Surface wnd dir.SE  E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Surface wnd gst.9   8   8   8   8   7   8   8   8   8   9
Ceiling (hft)...220 190 180 180 130 35  35  21  13  6.0 6.0
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog in the
                    morning. A chance of showers in the morning.
                    Showers late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Ceiling (FT)........1300, decreasing to 1000 late in the morning,
                    then decreasing to 800.0 early in the
                    afternoon, decreasing to 700.0 early in the
                    afternoon, decreasing to 600.0, decreasing to
                    500.0 late, increasing to 600.0.
Visibility (SM).....5, decreasing to 2.53 early in the morning,
                    then increasing to 3 early in the afternoon,
                    decreasing to 1.40 early in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  94  94  95  95  95  96  96  97  97  98  98
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  40  40  50  60  60  70  70  80  90  90
Temp............44  43  44  47  50  53  55  57  58  58  58  56
RH..............100 100 100 99  93  89  85  84  79  78  79  83
Aparnt tmp (F)..40  39  40  43  47  53  55  57  58  58  58  56
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W
Surface wnd spd.6   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   8   8   8
Surface wnd gst.9   13  13  13  13  13  14  14  15  15  13  13
Ceiling (hft)...13  15  13  13  13  10  8.0 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 6.0
Visibility (sm).6   5   2.7 2.6 3   3   2.5 3   2.5 1.8 1.4 1.6

$$
Forecaster...Andrew Kimball
Requested by...Ranger Cory Sutton
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 1719608.0/GSP



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