Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
000
FNUS72 KILM 281619
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR SLEEPY CREEK...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1119 AM EST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL BE DRY AND CHILLY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA
FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND THEN MOVES VIRTUALLY OVERHEAD LATE TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING SOUTHWARD FOR THE WEEKEND. MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE
REGION ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL CROSS THE
AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.
BROTAK WIND PROFILE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1800-2600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 16 MPH.
MAX ADI.............37.
MAX LVORI...........3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1954-32659 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................39     44     44
RH..................37     32     31
20 FT WIND..........N 7    N 6    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)........1900   2600   2600
TRANSPORT WIND......N 14   N 13   N 12
LVORI...............2      1      1
ADI.................26     37     34
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...28     33     29

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX ADI.............6.
MAX LVORI...........4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      1      2      2      3      7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38     32     29     27     26     25
RH..................40     51     58     60     60     63
20 FT WIND..........N 3    N 1    N 0    N 0    NE 0   NE 0
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........1000   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......N 5    N 1    N 0    N 0    N 0    N 0
LVORI...............2      2      3      3      3      3
ADI.................6      1      1      1      1      1
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...5      0      0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX ADI.............29.
MAX LVORI...........4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-22655 MPH-FT).

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............10     17     23     29     36     45
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................23     28     37     44     49     51
RH..................71     64     43     33     31     34
20 FT WIND..........NE 0   E 1    SE 2   S 3    S 4    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5      5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)........300    600    1000   1800   2000   1800
TRANSPORT WIND......N 0    E 1    E 3    S 6    S 9    SW 13
LVORI...............4      3      2      2      2      2
ADI.................1      1      2      13     23     29
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0      1      4      10     18     22

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL MALCOLM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.SLEEP.01/ILM






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.