Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 011247
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRIANGLE...OSCEOLA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
747 AM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0725 EST ON FEBRUARY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST TODAY WITH WINDS VEERING TO THE
SOUTH AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION ON MONDAY...BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...
NO SIGNIFICANT FOG IS EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 14 TO
                    20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 14 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 66 DECREASING TO 50 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 61.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........26     29     35     43     42     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40     49     63     71     73     71
RH..............100    93     62     47     46     49
20 FT WIND......E 1    SE 7   SE 12  S 14   S 14   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     20     20     15
DISPERSION IDX..1      14     56     51     48     63
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....72 DECREASING TO 11 IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 17 AFTER MIDNIGHT DECREASING TO
                    10 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........40     45     56     83     96     96
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............69     64     62     61     59     58
RH..............53     63     70     75     87     93
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 6    S 6    S 8    S 10   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     15     15     15
DISPERSION IDX..72     12     12     21     15     10
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      4      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     20     20     30     40

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 23
                    TO 28 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 91.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........98     99     98     98     73     16
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57     57     61     63     64     64
RH..............100    100    97     81     60     43
20 FT WIND......S 13   SW 14  SW 15  W 17   NW 17  NW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     25     25     25
DISPERSION IDX..10     14     16     26     50     76
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     60     60     60     10     0

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...PETER MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150201.TRIAN.01/JAX



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