Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 212351
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Wilson...CA-ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
451 PM PDT Sat Oct 21 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1800 PDT on October 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...North to northeast winds will continue over the Wilson
burn area tonight into Sunday. While the burn area is somewhat
sheltered from this wind direction, stronger gusts are expected over
the higher ridges. The max humidity values are expected to occur
during the evening hours, with drying likely as the winds shift from
afternoon to evening onshore to offshore later tonight. The offshore
winds will subside somewhat by late Sunday afternoon, but are
expected to increase to stronger speeds late Sunday night. Very poor
humidity recoveries and high nighttime temperatures are expected
Sunday night as the offshore flow continues.

The potential for critical Red Flag conditions will continue through
Tuesday due to the gusty northeast winds, warm temperatures, and
very low humidities.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....52-55.
Max humidity........30-40 percent...highest in the evening.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 3 to 6 mph becoming
                    northeast with local gusts to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 6 to 12 mph in the evening
                    becoming northeast 6 to 12 mph with local
                    gusts to 20 mph after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest winds 8 to 15 mph in the evening
                    becoming northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts
                    to 30 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL late
                    in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....76-80.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 12 mph
                    subsiding to 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph
                    subsiding to 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    in the late afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph
                    subsiding to 10 to 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.


.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....65-68.
Max humidity........15-20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 4 to 8 mph with gusts to
                    10 mph...increasing to 5 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    15 mph after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    increasing to 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph
                    after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    25 mph...increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts
                    to 35 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL early in the evening becoming 1400
                    ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 20 mph.


$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...Chris Fry
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1717671.0/LOX
.EMAIL cfry@fs.fed.us


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