Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 250920
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Forked...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
320 AM CST Sat Nov 25 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0700 CST on November 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...

Moisture levels will remain low through this weekend...with no
rainfall expected. A cold front will drop south through the state
today...with winds switching to the north. The next chance for
rain will come during the early to middle part of next week.

.TODAY...

Temperature.........53 at request...Max 68.
RH..................61 percent at request...Min 39 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast 14
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds northwest at 6 mph at request...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........7 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    29 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at request...max 5.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4410 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  53  57  60  63  65  66  67  67  64  60
RH..............61  64  58  53  48  46  43  40  39  43  48
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   8   12  14  15  14  14  14  15
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 79 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest
                    1 to 3 mph late in the evening.
Stability class.....D.
20 Foot Winds.......Light winds.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........6 early in the evening.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2330 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............57  55  53  51  49  47  46  44  43  42  41  40
RH..............53  55  57  58  61  63  66  68  70  72  74  77
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.14  12  8   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY...

Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 1 to 3 mph shifting to the south 5 to
                    7 mph early in the morning.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Light winds.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........4 increasing to 12 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3691 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  43  47  50  54  57  61  62  62  63  60  57
RH..............79  70  63  56  49  43  37  36  34  33  37  43
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.1   3   5   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   6   6
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...W Gilmore
Requested by...Tammy Milton
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719086.3/LZK
.EMAIL bfrisby@fs.fed.us



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