Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 240618
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST HORSESHOE ISO'S  (POTEAU)...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1218 AM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IMMEDIATELY.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION DURING
THIS WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND SOUTH WINDS WILL RETURN.

.REST OF TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........37 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
RH..................95 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....C.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
LVORI...............1 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
DISPERSION..........9 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 38 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3617 FT MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............37  41  45  49  53  57  61  64  66  67  66  63
RH..............95  85  76  68  61  55  50  47  45  45  49  55
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   9   9   12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   9   10  12  15  16  18  20  20  18  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....E.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
LVORI...............1.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
DISPERSION..........9 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 1300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5456 FT MSL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60  57  55  53  52  50  49  48  47  46  45  44
RH..............63  72  78  86  87  88  88  86  83  76  73  69
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  14  14  14  12  12  10  10  10  10  10  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10

.WEDNESDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....D.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............1 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
DISPERSION..........24 INCREASING TO 37 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 29 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 17.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 4500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 5689 FT MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44  42  42  43  45  46  47  48  49  49  48  46
RH..............65  68  64  61  56  53  49  47  45  44  46  47
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  12  14  15  15  16  16  18  18  18  16  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...L PYLE
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700696.0/LZK
.EMAIL TNUTLEY@HOTMAIL.COM


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