Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FNUS74 KMAF 140134
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for Rock Pile...Lincoln NF
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
834 PM CDT Thu Jul 13 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2000 MDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Moist, east to southeasterly, upslope flow will continue Friday,
which will keep temperatures slightly below normal Friday and
Saturday, and minimum RHs above 20% each afternoon.  There will be a
good chance of rain Friday as an upper disturbance moves over the
region.  But a drying trend will set in Saturday and temperatures
will begin to rise to near normal levels.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East to southeast winds 6 to 14 mph with gusts
                    to 22 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1400-3100 ft AGL increasing to 6100-6500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 21 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3
Temp............59     59     61     64     68     72
RH..............90     83     75     67     57     48
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..5      6      6       8     12     14
20 FT wind gust.                     15     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   2000   3100   4600   5800   6500
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.12     12     14     17     20     21
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0100, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4000-5900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1800 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....ISOLTD    ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD    ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        0         0
LAL.............2         2         1         1
Temp............73        68        65        61
RH..............48        57        65        75
20 FT wind dir..SE        SE        SE        SE
20 FT wind spd..16        13        10        9
20 FT wind gust.20        20        19        16
Mix hgt (ft)....5900      BLW100    500       BLW100
Transp wind dir.E         SE        SE        SE
Transp wind spd.18        15        12        10
Haines index....2         2         2         2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......0-1100 ft AGL increasing to 7900-9300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10        10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............61        65        74        79
RH..............75        63        44        35
20 FT wind dir..E         E         SE        SE
20 FT wind spd..6         7         11        13
20 FT wind gust.                              17
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100    4100      7100      9000
Transp wind dir.SE        SE        SE        SE
Transp wind spd.8         7         13        14
Haines index....2         2         2         2

$$
Forecaster...Lyster
Requested by...Davis
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1712698.0/MAF



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