Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
000
FNUS72 KMFL 191636
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Catherine Island RX Day...Florida Panther NWR
National Weather Service Miami FL
1136 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EST on February 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Morning showers associated with a disturbance moving across the
southern peninsula of Florida are making their way towards the
burn site. Not expecting much rain or any lightning from this
convection but gusty winds should be expected. Increased cloud
cover will likely linger through at least later in the afternoon.
Breezy easterly flow and good to excellent dispersion values are
expected today.

Patchy fog is possible over the northwest interior overnight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 10 mph.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......3900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 21 to 22 mph.
Dispersion index....74...decreasing to 66 early in the
                    afternoon...then increasing to 86 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  57  57  57  51  51
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............81  83  84  86  87  85
RH..............56  53  51  50  48  51
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..100 100 100 100 100 100
20 ft wind spd..10  10  10  9   9   8
20 ft wind gust.13  13  13  12  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...3.9 4.6 4.9 5.2 5.4 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.21  21  21  21  21  22
Dispersion idx..74  63  66  69  86  85
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).0   20  20  20  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......2300-3800 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-1600 ft
                    AGL in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 22 mph...decreasing to 6 to 9 mph
                    after midnight.
Dispersion index....79...decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........51  46  46  46  54  54  54  62  62  62  63  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............83  80  78  76  75  74  73  71  71  71  70  69
RH..............55  60  64  69  71  74  79  84  84  84  87  90
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..100 100 100 100 090 090 090 090 090 090 100 100
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   7   7   7   7   8   7   6   5   5
20 ft wind gust.11  11  10  8   8   8   8   10  8   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 3.0 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.22  22  22  22  21  17  13  9   7   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..79  29  28  22  15  13  10  8   6   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   6
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1300 ft AGL...increasing to 4200-5200 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 14 mph...increasing to southeast 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....6...increasing to 22 early...then increasing
                    to 54 late in the morning...increasing to
                    75...increasing to 88...decreasing to 77 late
                    in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........63     64     53     53     42     36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............68     71     83     87     89     89
RH..............90     84     61     52     47     47
20 ft wind dir..E      E      SE     SE     SE     SE
20 ft wind dir..100    100    120    120    120    120
20 ft wind spd..6      8      10     10     10     10
20 ft wind gust.7      10     13     13     13     13
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1300   3300   4600   5200   5100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6    E 14   SE 24  SE 23  SE 21  SE 20
Dispersion idx..4      22     72     86     85     77
LVORI...........6      4      1      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Garcia
Requested by...Jacob Sohr
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802124.1/MFL



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.