Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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123
FNUS76 KMFR 240501
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Little Deer Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
1001 PM PDT Sun Apr 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 PDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A frontal system will push east of the area Monday morning. Rain
in the morning will taper off, but there`s still a chance of
showers through the afternoon. Gusty southwest winds are
expected, with the strongest winds occurring Monday afternoon. The
snow level will be near the burn elevation in the morning. Winds
die off Monday night into Tuesday morning with decreasing odds for
showers. The next frontal system will push onshore Tuesday with a
chance of rain in the afternoon. Afternoon winds Tuesday, while
occasionally breezy, won`t be as strong as on Monday. There`s a
better chance of rain Wednesday. Showers in northwest flow
Thursday are expected to taper off Friday. High pressure is then
expected to return next weekend.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Rain maybe mixed with snow in the morning, then
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....44.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest 5-10 mph in the morning increasing to
                    8-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest 8-14 mph in the morning increasing to
                    12-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25-35 mph.
CWR.................63 percent.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then a slight chance of rain and
                    snow showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest 5-8 mph with gusts to 12 mph in the
                    evening decreasing to 2-4 mph overnight.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest 8-14 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the
                    evening decreasing to 3-7 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 1500 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....West 15-25 mph.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of snow in the morning,
                    then a chance of rain in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........60 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest 1-4 mph increasing to 4-8 mph with
                    gusts to 12 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest 2-6 mph increasing to 6-12 mph with
                    gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 3000
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12-25 mph.
CWR.................42 percent.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs near 50. Southwest winds 7 to
12 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to
8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Joseph Spivey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707437.0/MFR



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