Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 251139
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for SR...USMC Camp Lejeune
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
639 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on February 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front with limited moisture will move through
the area this evening. High pressure will build in Sunday
then slide offshore Monday through Wednesday. A cold front will
cross the region Wednesday night into Thursday. High pressure
will build in behind the front Friday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Areas of fog early this morning...then becoming
                    mostly sunny. Partly cloudy with a slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late this afternoon and
                    early evening.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds early...becoming southwest
                    10 to 18 mph with gusts to 25 mph late this morning and
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Max 5400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 15 to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 110859 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 10.
ADI.................Max 66.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.64 to 29.77 inHg.

TIME (EST)         7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............58  47  45  40  35  30  27  28  30  50  50
Weather cov........ARS ARS                             SCH SCH
Weather type.......FOG FOG                             RW  RW
Tstm cov...........                                    SCH SCH
Temp...............53  59  65  70  74  76  77  78  80  74  70
RH.................100 87  78  71  62  58  54  52  49  57  66
20 FT wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd.....1   2   3   5   6   8   10  11  12  12  11
20 FT wind gust....        5   10  15  15  20  20  25  25  20
Mix hgt (kft)......0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 3.0 4.2 5.4 4.5 3.6 2.8 1.9
Transp wind dir....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....1   2   5   8   13  17  21  23  23  22  18
LVORI..............10  6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   3
ADI................1   3   8   19  40  65  65  66  60  50  35
Haines index.......5   5   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   5
VRate mph-ft/1000..0   2   6   15  38  72  111 103 83  60  35
Stability class....F   F   F   F   F   B   C   C   C   C   C

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20
                    mph.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 20 mph...becoming north late.
Vent Rate...........Min 3219 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Min 8.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.65 to 30.06 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............36  38  35  29  23  17  11  0   0   1   1   1
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............67  65  63  61  59  57  55  53  51  49  46  41
RH.................70  73  70  67  62  59  57  57  56  56  60  70
20 FT wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd.....9   8   8   9   9   9   9   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust....15  15  15  20  20  20  20  15  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)......1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.5
Transp wind dir....SW  SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd....15  13  16  22  26  28  26  24  23  21  20  18
LVORI..............3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI................10  8   11  15  18  18  17  16  15  14  13  12
Haines index.......4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..16  3   4   6   7   29  50  66  62  57  52  45
Stability class....C   B   B   C   C   C   E   F   F   F   F   F

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 4200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 15 mph...becoming west 5 to 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 42550 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 2.
ADI.................Max 46.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.10 to 30.21 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............3      3      2      1      1      3
Weather cov........
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............41     44     51     55     57     56
RH.................67     53     36     29     27     29
20 ft wind.........NW 5   NW 6   NW 8   NW 8   NW 6   NW 5
20 ft wind gust....       15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft).......2400   2600   3400   3800   4100   4200
Transport wind.....NW 16  NW 14  NW 13  NW 9   NW 6   NW 6
LVORI..............1      1      1      1      2      2
ADI................46     42     43     32     24     22
Haines index.......4      4      4      4      4      5
VRate mph-ft/1000..39     37     43     33     26     24
Stability class....F      F      F      B      B      B

$$
Forecaster...Dail
Requested by...John Mangus
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702858.0/MHX
.EMAIL john.mangus@usmc.mil



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