Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FNUS73 KMKX 251254
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Hinkson Creek-Thompson...USFWS
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
754 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on September 25.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Another hot day is in store for southern Wisconsin, but things
will begin to cool down on Tuesday with much cooler weather
by Wednesday...then continuing through the weekend.  A cold
front will push into the area later tonight and Tuesday,
bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Rainfall amounts
at this time look to be on the light side.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........69 at ignition...Max 88.
RH..................81 percent at ignition...Min 44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 100-900 ft
                    AGL increasing to 2400-3900 ft AGL late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 5900-7500 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon increasing to 7200-8400
                    ft AGL early in the afternoon decreasing to
                    5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /1700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /46700 knot-ft/ increasing to good to excellent
                    (51300-72700 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  19  24  26  27  26  31  36  41  43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  73  78  81  84  86  87  88  87  85
RH..............81  73  64  58  53  50  46  45  45  50
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.9 2.4 3.9 5.9 7.5 8.4 8.2 7.2 5.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   8   9   10  12  12  12  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   3   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10002   6   10  18  47  60  73  61  52  51

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 64.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1900-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 100-200 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....South around 3 mph becoming 1 to 6 mph in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  45  46  46  47  49  51  54  57  59  61  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............81  78  75  73  71  70  69  68  67  67  66  64
RH..............56  62  68  73  79  81  81  84  87  84  87  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   E   E   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   2   2   1   1   2   3   5   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10001   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Davis
Requested by...Derek Casbon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716204.0/MKX
.EMAIL derek_casbon@fws.gov


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