Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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823
FNUS74 KMOB 201429
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for De Soto 7310...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
829 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Southeast to southerly flow in the mixing layer will
increase and keep high daytime moisture levels high through mid week.
Rain chances will be on the increase into Wednesday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog development is likely tonight, with
dense fog likely limiting visibilities to less than one mile.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1800-3200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...549-975 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 23 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....40 increasing to 52 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 42 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........63     65     65     63     68
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     40     40     40
Temp............72     79     82     81     78
RH..............84     67     61     63     69
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     S      S      SE
20 FT wind spd..6      6      7      7      6
20 FT wind gust.7      10     10     10     7
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   2600   3100   3200   3200
Mix hgt (m).....550    790    940    980    980
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.22     23     23     22     16
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).10     10     10     10     7
Dispersion idx..36     49     55     53     42
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the evening, then slight chance of
                    showers after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......900-1500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...274-457 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........70     78     79     75     75     75
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     30     20     20     20
Temp............76     71     68     68     67     66
RH..............74     90     100    97     100    100
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..5      4      4      4      3      3
20 FT wind gust.6      6      6      6      4      4
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   900    900    900    900    900
Mix hgt (m).....460    270    270    270    270    270
Transp wind dir.S      S      SE     S      S      S
Transp wind spd.14     12     10     9      10     9
Trans wind dir..S      S      SE     S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).6      5      4      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..11     8      8      7      7      7
LVORI...........3      5      8      8      8      8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......900-2800 ft AGL increasing to 2900-3200 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...274-853 meters AGL increasing to 884-975 meters
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 45.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........73           76           78
Weather cov.....CHANCE       CHANCE       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC        S CHC        S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40           40           50
Temp............65           76           82
RH..............100          79           65
20 FT wind dir..SE           SE           S
20 FT wind spd..3            6            6
20 FT wind gust.4            7            10
Mix hgt (ft)....900          2100         3000
Mix hgt (m).....270          640          910
Transp wind dir.SE           S            S
Transp wind spd.9            18           17
Trans wind dir..SE           S            S
Trans spd (m/s).4            8            8
Dispersion idx..11           35           43
LVORI...........6            3            1

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Jay Boykin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802198.0/MOB
.EMAIL jayboykin@fs.fed.us



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