Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 291150
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST BAY...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
650 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST REGION TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS A WEAK UPPER TROF OF LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY AND A WEAK
SURFACE TROF OVER THE NORTHERN GULF DRIFTS NORTH TOWARD THE COAST. LATE
IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK THE SURFACE TROF
WEAKENS AND HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN.
THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS AND INCREASED RAIN
CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GENERALLY GOOD AFTERNOON DISPERSION CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG MOSTLY IN LOW LYING
AREAS CAN BE EXPECTED MOSTLY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS NEAR SUNRISE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 1 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........52     52     75     75     75
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............85     90     91     90     89
RH................68     58     58     59     62
20 FT WIND DIR....E      ESE    SE     SE     SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      7      8      8      7
20 FT WIND GUST...       14     16     16     14
MIX HGT (FT)......2200   3900   5600   5600   4000
MIX HGT (M).......670    1190   1710   1710   1220
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    ESE    SE     SE     SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     13     14     14     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION........20     34     44     44     36
LVORI.............3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............40     40     60     60     60

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). NUMEROUS
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400-2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 12.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING E.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........75     71     71     71     63     63
WEATHER COV.......NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............87     85     83     81     80     79
RH................65     71     78     85     89     90
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    S      S      S      S      SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....7      6      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...14
MIX HGT (FT)......4000   2400   2500   2500   2500   2600
MIX HGT (M).......1220   730    760    760    760    790
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     12     13     13     13     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      5      6      6      6      5
DISPERSION........36     15     8      8      9      8
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      5      5
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      E      E
CWR...............60     50     50     50     30     30

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 28.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........63     55     55     55     55     55
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............79     82     87     89     89     88
RH................91     85     72     69     69     71
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE    S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      7      7      9      7
20 FT WIND GUST...                            17     14
MIX HGT (FT)......2600   2600   3800   3800   4900   3500
MIX HGT (M).......790    790    1160   1160   1490   1070
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     10     10     10     10     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      4      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........8      23     27     27     32     27
LVORI.............5      4      3      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...E      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............30     30     30     30     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140829.EASTB.01/MOB







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