Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 301250
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 450...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
750 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH
TODAY...RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT
STALLS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY. WEST TO SOUTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS ALONG WITH DEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS WILL YIELD GOOD DISPERSIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE IN
LOW LYING AND RURAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3800 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 14 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 59 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........M      M      M      M
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............72     77     80     79
RH................62     51     47     49
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....7      7      7      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......3200   6000   6000   3800
MIX HGT (M).......980    1830   1830   1160
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    W      W      NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...14     18     18     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      8      8      6
DISPERSION........35     59     59     33
LVORI.............1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C
CWR...............30     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 10.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........61     58     58     58     65     65
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE                      PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP..............77     71     64     60     59     57
RH................54     67     81     92     96     98
20 FT WIND DIR....W      WNW    S      S      SSW    S
20 FT WIND SPD....6      4      3      3      2      1
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......3800   1600   900    900    100    200
MIX HGT (M).......1160   490    270    270    30     60
TRANSP WIND DIR...NW     N      ENE    ENE    SSE    S
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     5      2      2      2      2
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      2      1      1      1      1
DISPERSION........33     3      1      1      1      1
LVORI.............1      3      6      6      8      10
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      F      F      F      F
CWR...............30     10     10     10     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....1 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 50 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 7 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........65     56     56     56     51     51
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............56     59     68     75     79     80
RH................100    91     71     56     49     46
20 FT WIND DIR....S      WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    SW
20 FT WIND SPD....1      3      5      5      7      8
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    300    2600   2600   4900   2500
MIX HGT (M).......60     90     790    790    1490   760
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...2      5      12     12     16     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      2      5      5      7      6
DISPERSION........1      0      26     26     50     28
LVORI.............10     7      2      2      1      2
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............10     20     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...DAVID BERENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150330.CHICK.01/MOB



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