Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 230257
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JEFF FRIEND FIRE...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
957 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2109 CDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT
WILL WEAKEN THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME EASTERLY THEN
SOUTHEASTERLY DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF
THE AREA AND A SEABREEZE LIFTS NORTHWARD. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE
THAT WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHEASTERLY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. NEXT
CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS RETURNS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...DEVELOPMENT OF FOG IS GENERALLY NOT
EXPECTED...THOUGH BRIEF REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY TO 4 TO 5 MILES CANNOT
BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NEAR CALM WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING EAST NORTHEAST
                    8 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 4.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING E
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)...........28  28  28  26  26  26  26  26
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TEMP..............71  70  69  68  67  67  67  66
DEWPT.............66  65  65  64  64  64  64  64
RH................84  84  87  87  90  90  90  93
20 FT WIND DIR....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE
20 FT WIND SPD....2   2   2   2   3   3   4   6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (KFT).....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
MIX HGT (KM)......0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE ENE ENE
TRANSP WIND SPD...6   6   6   8   8   8  12  12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5
DISPERSION........8   8   8   14  14  14  15  15
LVORI.............3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
STABILITY CLASS...F   F   F   E   E   E   E   E
CWR...............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 2400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 12 TO 15 MPH BECOMING EAST SOUTHEAST 15
                    TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 38 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING C IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING D
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)...........26  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......
TEMP..............67  68  72  75  77  79  81  82  82  82  82  82
DEWPT.............64  65  65  65  66  66  66  67  67  67  67  67
RH................76  77  79  73  69  66  64  63  64  65  66  67
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE ENE E   E   E   E   E   ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....7   8   10  11  12  12  12  12  14  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST...        13  14  16  16  16  17  19  19  19  19
MIX HGT (KFT).....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.1
MIX HGT (KM)......0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR...E   E   E   E   E   E   E   ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD...14  14  14  15  15  15  15  17  17  17  16  16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   7   7
DISPERSION........15  0   0   0   29  29  29  39  39  39  37  37
LVORI.............4   4   4   4   2   2   2   1   1   1   3   3
STABILITY CLASS...E   C   C   C   C   C   C   D   D   D   D   D
CWR...............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...21
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BAILEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150522.JEFFF.01/MOB



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