Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 101215
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin AFB K-3...US Air Force Eglin
National Weather Service Mobile AL
715 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on August 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Numerous showers and storms are expected for most of
the area each day through Saturday while afternoon relative
humidity values remain well above critical levels.  The stronger
storms will produce gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy
downpours.  Fair dispersion values are expected each day through
Saturday.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Patchy fog development is likely
the next few nights with visibilities down to around one mile.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1800-3500 ft AGL increasing to 3900-4600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height (m)...549-1067 meters AGL increasing to 1189-1402
                    meters AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 2 to 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....16 increasing to 22 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........77     79     81     82     84
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).40     40     40     50     50
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3
Temp............80     86     89     88     86
RH..............85     72     66     68     72
20 FT wind dir..E      SE     S      S      SW
20 FT wind spd..3      4      5      6      5
20 FT wind gust.5      5      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   3500   4300   4400   4100
Mix hgt (m).....550    1070   1310   1340   1250
Transp wind dir.E      SE     S      S      SW
Transp wind spd.5      5      6      7      7
Trans wind dir..E      SE     S      S      SW
Trans spd (m/s).2      2      3      3      3
Dispersion idx..11     15     15     18     20
LVORI...........4      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1250 meters AGL decreasing to 91-579 meters
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 2 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 1 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....24 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........85     85     83     81     80     80
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3
Temp............83     80     78     77     76     74
RH..............80     88     94     94     97     100
20 FT wind dir..W      W      NW     N      NE     E
20 FT wind spd..5      4      3      1      1      1
20 FT wind gust.10     5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....4100   900    900    700    500    300
Mix hgt (m).....1250   270    270    210    150    90
Transp wind dir.W      W      NW     N      N      NW
Transp wind spd.8      8      6      3      2      3
Trans wind dir..W      W      NW     N      N      NW
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      3      1      1      1
Dispersion idx..24     5      3      2      1      1
LVORI...........3      5      6      7      9      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500-1600 ft AGL increasing to 4600-5300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-488 meters AGL increasing to 1402-1615
                    meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 2 mph shifting to the west 3 to 8
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.North around 1 meters/second shifting to the
                    west 1 to 4 meters/second in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........79     78     76     74     72     70
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     30     30     50     50
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3
Temp............74     78     84     87     89     88
RH..............100    91     74     68     64     66
20 FT wind dir..S      S      SW     SW     W      W
20 FT wind spd..1      2      4      5      6      6
20 FT wind gust.       5      5      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1600   3800   4800   5000   4600
Mix hgt (m).....150    490    1160   1460   1520   1400
Transp wind dir.N      N      W      W      SW     W
Transp wind spd.2      2      5      6      7      8
Trans wind dir..N      N      W      W      SW     W
Trans spd (m/s).1      1      2      3      3      4
LVORI...........9      5      3      3      2      2

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Thomas Harrison
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1714144.0/MOB
.EMAIL thomas.harrison.22@us.af.mil



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