Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 241148
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Rain Man  E-37...Eglin AFB  WSM
National Weather Service Mobile AL
648 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on June 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An approaching frontal boundary will bring scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms to the area through the
weekend. Locally heavy rainfall, brief gusty and erratic winds and
frequent lightning will accompany the strongest storms. Fair to
generally good dispersions are expected through the weekend.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Patchy light fog possible
during the late night and early morning hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely late in
                    the morning. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1000, then 16-25 strikes
                    until 1300, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1700-3600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...518-1097 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 6 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....31.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  80  77  76  76  75  75  75  75  75  77
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  60  60  60  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............2   2   2   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............76  78  80  82  84  86  87  87  87  86  85
RH..............100 94  88  82  77  72  70  70  70  72  75
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.0 3.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  14
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).6   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..27  30  32  35  34  33  32  33  35  35  34
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1100-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 600-1000 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Mixing height (m)...335-914 meters AGL decreasing to 183-305 meters
                    AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....33 decreasing to 8.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........79  81  81  81  81  80  76  74  75  77  77  79
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............83  82  80  79  78  78  77  77  76  75  74  74
RH..............80  82  85  88  91  91  94  94  97  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.15  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 1.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.9 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.13  13  12  10  9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..33  11  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 0700, then 16-25 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......900-2400 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4900 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...274-732 meters AGL increasing to 914-1494
                    meters AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 20 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  81  81  80  80  80  79  79  80  81  81  82
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).30  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
LAL.............3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............74  76  78  80  82  83  84  85  85  86  86  85
RH..............100 94  88  82  77  74  72  70  67  65  63  63
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   SW  W   NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   10
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..5   10  14  15  17  17  19  21  21  22  24  24
LVORI...........8   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Jerry Coon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1711532.0/MOB
.EMAIL jerry.coon@us.af.mil



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