Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS74 KMRX 151504
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for ALUM CAVE SAR...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1104 AM EDT Sat Jul 15 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 1200 CDT on July 15.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible...please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
increasing in coverage today as a cold front approaches the
region. Scattered showers and thunderstorms decrease this evening
as the cold front remains over the southern sections of the area.
Skies will be mostly sunny and warmer Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely
                    late in the morning, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Max apparent temp...77.
Surface winds.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.43 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........81  83  81  76  74  74  75
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  50  50  50  50  50
Temp............76  77  77  77  77  77  76
RH..............74  71  71  71  71  71  74
Aparnt tmp (F)..76  77  77  77  77  77  76
Surface wnd dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Surface wnd spd.4   4   5   6   6   6   5
Surface wnd gst.5   5   10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Max apparent temp...75.
Surface winds.......Light winds.
Rainfall amount.....0.05 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........75  73  68  66  65  63  62  64  69  71  69  64
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............75  72  71  69  68  68  67  66  66  66  65  65
RH..............76  81  84  87  87  87  87  87  84  84  87  90
Aparnt tmp (F)..75  72  71  69  68  68  67  66  66  66  65  65
Surface wnd dir.NW  W   W   W   NW  N   N   NE  E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.4   3   2   1   1   2   3   4   4   4   4   3
Surface wnd gst.5   5                   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Max apparent temp...79.
Surface winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.07 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........48  45  40  37  39  43  45  43  39  37  34  27
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............67  69  72  74  76  77  78  79  79  79  79  78
RH..............87  81  76  71  66  64  62  60  58  58  58  58
Aparnt tmp (F)..67  69  72  74  76  77  78  79  79  79  79  78
Surface wnd dir.E   SE  SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Surface wnd spd.3   2   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   4   4
Surface wnd gst.5                   5   10  10  10  10  5   5

$$
Forecaster...Jeremy Buckles
Requested by...DAN LAWLER
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 1712768.0/MRX



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