Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FNUS73 KPAH 281554
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR INAGHEH 6...USFS SHAWNEE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1054 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS TODAY. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY. INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THE BACK
SIDE OF THE HIGH WILL BRING WARMER AIR INTO OUR REGION. A WEAK
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR REGION SUNDAY EVENING...
BRINGING A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS. DRY WEATHER WILL THEN PREVAIL
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 46.
RH..................33 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO
                    5700-6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........25     23     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43     45     44
RH..............33     30     28
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 3    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........9      4      2      7      8      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43     38     34     32     30     29
RH..............27     37     50     55     63     69
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 3   E 2    E 3    SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 29 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     12     16     37     60     79
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............28     27     35     45     51     54
RH..............73     81     65     52     44     44
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 7    S 10   S 12   S 13   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      3      2      2      3      4

$$
FORECASTER...PRESLEY
REQUESTED BY...TYSON TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150328.INAGH.01/PAH



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