Suppression Forecast
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725
FNUS71 KPBZ 190003
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for Greene Farm...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
803 PM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (412) 262-1485, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.Discussion...

High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through the
weekend.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent), then becoming mostly
                    clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph, becoming light and
                    variable.
Mixing height.......0-1800 ft AGL, increasing to 1300-3200 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then decreasing to 300-600
                    ft AGL early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph, becoming west 12 to 20
                    mph, then decreasing to 6 to 10 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 to 5...or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   6   9   12  13  14  15  16  17  17  18  20  20  19  19  18  18  17  17  15  14  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............44  45  48  53  58  61  63  64  66  66  66  63  60  58  56  54  53  52  50  49  48  47  46
RH..............85  82  78  70  62  57  54  51  47  48  49  54  60  64  71  75  79  83  88  92  94  95  97
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   7   8   9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   3   2
20 FT wind gust.        8   11  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  12  10          6   6   6   6   6   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 2.9 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   6   10  16  20  20  18  17  17  17  17  15  13  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   7   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......100-1500 ft AGL, increasing to 2000-2500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  11  11  9   6   4   4   5   5   6   7   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  45  45  48  52  56  60  64  67  69  69  68
RH..............99  99  95  92  85  77  63  52  45  42  42  44
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.                        4   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.5   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......100-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 3 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   9   13  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  62  58  55  53  51  50  48  48  47  47  47
RH..............48  55  63  68  72  75  78  81  82  82  82  82
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.    1                       2           4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   SW  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.3   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Haines index....5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...PH
Requested by...John Wakefield
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717402.1/PBZ
.EMAIL johwakefie@pa.gov



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