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Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

000
FNUS75 KPUB 170018
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARNARD...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
618 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE BURN SITE
THROUGH FRIDAY.  THIS WILL RESULT IN WEATHER CONDITIONS MEETING CRITICAL
LEVELS ON FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH FUELS ARE NOT CURRENTLY INDICATED TO BE
RECEPTIVE ACCORDING TO THE LATEST FUELS STATUS UPDATE POSTED MAY 14TH.
REGARDLESS...WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AS HUMIDITIES
FALL INTO THE MID TEENS FRIDAY.  FOR TONIGHT...MAYBE A STRAY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM YET EARLY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE SKIES SHOULD CLEAR BY
MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WSW 5-10 MPH UNTIL 03Z...THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
                    DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2000.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130516.BARNA.01/PUB