Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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000
FNUS75 KPUB 300002
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK MOUNTAIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
602 PM MDT THU SEP 29 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

INCREASING MOISTURE AND MINOR DISTUBANCE EMBEDDED WITHIN SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP THE CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. A WEAK LEE TROUGH ACROSS THE I-25
CORRIDOR LOOKS TO KEEP A WESTERLY DRAINAGE FLOW ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT, WITH A MORE THERMALLY DRIVEN WIND REGIME EXPECTED TOMORROW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1900...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWESST 7-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 7-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS PAGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160929.BLACK.02/PUB



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