Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FNUS75 KREV 201359
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Long Valley Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
600 AM PST Mon Nov 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PST on November 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

A weak system will bring a few light showers in the vicinity of
the burn site on Monday, but wetting rains are not expected. The
system tomorrow will bring breezy conditions, especially near
ridgelines. Winds will remain elevated on ridges through the week
with southwest flow aloft, but valley winds will be generally
light. Otherwise, expect warming temperatures and dry conditions
through the week. The pattern may turn unsettled again by next
weekend with the potential for increased winds and rain and snow.

.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. 20% chance of rain.
Temperature.........37-40 at ignition...Max 49-52.
RH..................50-55% at ignition...Min 43-46%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest 5-9 mph with gusts to 18 mph increasing
                    to 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 28 mph around 1000.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl then 3000 ft agl in the
                     afternoon.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to west 20 to
                     25 mph in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor increasing to good.
Haines Index........2.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 33-36.
RH..................Max 74-80%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest 8 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph becoming
                    downslope 2-5 mph by 2200.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl in the evening then 200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 20 mph in the evening becoming
                     light around midnight.
Ventilation.........Good decreasing to poor.
Haines Index........2.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........Max 56-59.
RH..................Min 45-50%.
20-Foot Winds.......Variable to 5 mph becoming southwest 5-10 mph with
                    gusts to 18 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Mixing Height.......200-500 ft agl then 1700 ft agl in the
                     afternoon.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Ventilation.........Poor increasing to good.
Haines Index........2.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Potential for increasing winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Potential for increasing winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Potential for gusty winds.

$$
Forecaster...Johnson/Wallmann
Requested by...Steve Howell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718994.0/REV
.EMAIL srhowell@fs.fed.us



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