Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
000
FNUS71 KRNK 202234
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Mill Creek RX...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
534 PM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on a time of 1800 EST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will be over the area tonight and Tuesday. Unsettled
weather conditions will move into the area for Tuesday night and
Wednesday. Tonight and Tuesday expect increasing cloudiness with
opportunity for showers late Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Dry conditions will prevail through tonight, although with
increasing cloud cover. The Craig Valley RAWs observations are
running about 15 percent drier than your location.  Matter of
fact all reporting stations around you had humidity minimums
Monday afternoon between 15-25 percent.  Unless you are slinging
your weather near a creek, need to check your wet bulb... seems
to be running a tad high.

Weather at Craig Valley RAWS 2/20/2017
1607 LST Temp 69, Wet Bulb 46.5, RH 14%, Wind 1MPH Gust 6MPH from ESE
1707 LST Temp 65, Wet Bulb 46.1, RH 21%, Wind 1MPH Gust 5MPH from E


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Increasing Cloudiness (55-65 percent cloud cover).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light south less than 5 MPH.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to less than 1000 feet after 8PM.
Mixing winds........Southeast 6 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8.
Haines Index........3 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........29     39     47     57     64     68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............63     57     53     54     52     51
RH..............40     48     55     55     57     58
20 ft wind......S 4    S 4    S 5    S 4    S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.6      6      8      8      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   1400   300    500    800    800
Mixing wind.....SE 10  SE 9   S 6    SE 13  SE 18  SE 17
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      2      3
ADI.............5      4      3      9      10     10
Haines index....4      4      4      3      3      2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent cloud cover).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 10 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................32.
Haines Index........3 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........66     64     63     67     71     75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............47     46     51     54     56     58
RH..............66     69     59     50     45     43
20 ft wind......S 3    E 1    SE 3   SE 4   S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.5             5      5             10
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   1700   2200   2500   2800   3200
Mixing wind.....SE 15  SE 14  S 14   S 14   S 13   S 10
LVORI...........3      3      1      2      2      2
ADI.............34     31     36     29     29     28
Haines index....2      2      2      2      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Manuel
Requested by...John Norton-Jensen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702449.3/RNK



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.