Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBERVIEW...ROANOKE COUNTY FIRE AND RESCUE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
900 PM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2042 EDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE HIGHER RH SHOULD KEEP
FIRE BEHAVIOR TO A MINIMUM.

SUNDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO SATURDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR A LATE
AFTERNOON SHOWER.  HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED...EXCEPT FOR
A FEW HOURS SUNDAY AFTERNOON WHEN LEVELS MAY DIP TO NEAR 45 PERCENT.
WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 AND AN RH NEAR 45 PERCENT WOULD ANTICIPATE
SOME FIRE MOVEMENT IF NOT CONTAINED BY 2PM SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

ALL THINGS CONSIDERED AGREE THAT YOU CAN WAIT UNTIL DAYLIGHT SUNDAY
TO EXPLORE TACTICAL RESPONSE.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). BRIEF SHOWER POSSIBLE
                    BEFORE MIDNIGHT...OTHERWISE DRY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER 11PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 1 TO 3
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.

TIME (EDT)          9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).............67     60     45     39     45
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................81     78     75     72     71
RH..................60     66     72     76     80
20 FT WIND..........S 2    SW 1   SW 0   W 0    W 0
20 FT WIND GUST.....5
MIX HGT (FT)........3300   500    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 8   W 2    W 2    W 2    W 2
CWR.................20     10     0      0      0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 12 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............47     51     58     63     66     63
WEATHER COV.........                            ISOLTD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            ISOLTD SCTTRD
TEMP................70     72     78     82     85     88
RH..................83     78     66     57     51     47
20 FT WIND..........W 0    W 2    SW 4   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........400    700    3100   4800   5800   5400
TRANSPORT WIND......W 2    SW 3   SW 8   W 13   W 14   W 17
CWR.................0      0      10     10     20     30

$$
FORECASTER...MANUEL
REQUESTED BY...BATTALION CHIEF TOM BIER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140712.TIMBE.01/RNK


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