Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 291301
FWSTBW

SPOT FORECAST FOR AVON PARK AFR...US AIR FORCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
901 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT AND THEN WILL DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY.
A WEAK PRESSURE PATTERN WILL THEN REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE REST OF
THE WEEK. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS TODAY. ON WEDNESDAY SOME DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE
NATURE COAST WHERE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COULD FALL INTO THE
UPPER 30S OVER INLAND AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL RETURN THURSDAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS ALL AREAS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. 20 FOOT
WINDS AND TRANSPORT WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE WILL PRODUCE
GOOD DISPERSION INDICES OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY.

FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT...NO WIDESPREAD FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
CHC PRECIP (%)..40     40     40     50     50
TEMP............82     85     89     92     90
HUMIDITY........80     70     60     53     56
20 FT WIND......SW 5   W 7    W 9    W 10   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....500    1400   3100   4800   4300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   W 15   W 16   W 15   W 16
DISPERSION......15     27     50     61     43
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
CHC PRECIP (%)..50     30     30     30     20     20
TEMP............87     82     80     79     78     77
HUMIDITY........63     74     81     86     88     91
20 FT WIND......SW 10  SW 7   SW 5   SW 3   SW 3   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10            5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2300   900    200    200    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16   W 14   W 10   W 8    W 9    W 7
DISPERSION......42     9      7      3      4      3
LVORI...........1      3      4      6      6      6
LAL.............3      3      3      3      2      2

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
CHC PRECIP (%)..20     30     30     30     30     30
TEMP............76     78     83     87     90     91
HUMIDITY........95     91     75     64     57     56
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 1    W 3    W 6    SW 6   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5             5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    200    1400   2800   4400   4500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7    W 8    W 7    W 7    SW 7   W 9
DISPERSION......3      8      13     25     27     35
LAL.............2      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...MCMICHAEL
REQUESTED BY...TROY HERSHBERGER
EMERGENCY PHONE...(863) 452-4134
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  200 ACRES
LAT/LON 27.612 81.149
.TAG 20140729.AVONP.01/TBW









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