Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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FNUS73 KTOP 211443
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO PIN BURN...STATE/FEDERAL OFFICIAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
843 AM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Sunny skies will prevail through the day. High temperatures near 70
coupled with dew points in the mid-30s, results in RH values near 30
percent through the afternoon. Westerly winds will become southerly
this afternoon at 5 to 10 mph with gusts upwards of 15 mph. High
fire danger conditions will persist through the afternoon. Winds will
decrease this evening to near 5 mph. Southerly winds will be much
stronger Wednesday afternoon with gusts upwards of 25 mph.

.TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................73 percent AT IGNITION...MIN 30.
Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 ft agl at IGNITION...otherwise 300-2100 ft
                    agl increasing to 1300-2900 ft agl in the
                    afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS northwest AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE Light winds becoming west
                    5 to 8 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the southwest 5 to 7 mph toward
                    evening.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR moderate AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.

Time (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........1      1      1      2      2      1
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............38     47     57     66     70     69
RH..............89     73     51     37     30     31
20 ft wind......NW 3   NW 3   NW 4   W 7    W 7    SW 6
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      10     10     10
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines Index....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 73 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 ft agl.
WIND (20 FT)........South winds around 5 mph increasing to 5 to 6
                    mph late in the evening, then decreasing to
                    around 5 mph after midnight.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76.
RH..................MIN 22 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 ft agl increasing to 2700-4400 ft agl
                    in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...BAERG
Requested by...JASON DAVIS
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702557.0/TOP



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