Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FNUS74 KTSA 302120
FWSTSA

SPOT FORECAST FOR URSULA...ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
320 PM CST WED NOV 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1600 CST ON NOVEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)832-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...
WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TOWARD 30 MPH
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE DECREASING
INTO THE 5 TO 15 MPH RANGE THIS EVENING. ALSO THIS
AFTERNOON...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE
SHOULD BEGIN TO RECOVER INTO THE 55 TO 65 PERCENT RANGE AFTER
SUNSET THIS EVENING.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............25.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20000 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).50.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CST)      4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2   1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52  49
DEWPOINT........25  25
RH..............34  39
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..12  6
20 FT WIND GUST.30  35
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  5
EYE LVL WND GST.30  35
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.25  24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20  20
1700FT MIX T(F).52  49

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............26.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1500-14000 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).42 INCREASING TO 55 LATE IN THE EVENING.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............46  44  41  40  39  38  37  36  36  35  34  33
DEWPOINT........26  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  26  26  26  26
RH..............45  51  55  59  62  64  67  69  67  69  72  75
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 3.5 3.0 2.4 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.25  24  23  21  17  15  12  10  10  10  8   5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14  14  14  14  14  14  2   2   2   2   2   2
1700FT MIX T(F).46  44  41  40  39  55  55  55  55  56  56  55

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............28.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 13
                    TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7300-14000 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).55 DECREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 59 IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0   1   1   2   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............32  32  32  38  44  51  56  60  62  63  62  59
DEWPOINT........26  27  28  29  29  30  30  30  29  29  29  30
RH..............78  81  81  67  53  46  38  33  31  29  31  35
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.3 0.3 0.8 2.4 3.9 5.5 6.4 6.2 6.6 6.1 5.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   5   7   10  14  16  16  16  15  14  13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7   7   7   7   7   7   14  14  14  14  14  14
1700FT MIX T(F).55  55  55  55  44  51  56  60  62  63  62  59

$$
FORECASTER...JANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...LORRAINE MASON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1603790.0/TSA
.EMAIL LORRAINE.MASON@ARKANSAS.GOV



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