Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Alaska-Pacific RFC

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AGAK78 PACR 312251
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HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING HAS A RIDGE OVER MOST OF THE
MAINLAND... A LOW NORTH OF THE MACKENZIE DELTA... AND A LOW OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS WITH A TROUGH THROUGH THE GULF TO A WEAKENING LOW
IN THE EASTERN GULF.  OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS A TROUGH FROM THE
NORTHERN LOW WILL DIG SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AND PHASE WITH THE SOUTHERN
LOW.  THIS WILL BRING COOLER AND MORE SHOWERY WEATHER MOST OF THE
MAINLAND... WHILE THE LOWS IN THE GULF WILL KEEP PERIODS OF RAIN
OVER SOUTHEAST AND ALONG THE GULF COASTAL REGIONS.

...PRECIPITATION...

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR
======== ====                 == ==   =====
PPSA2    POWDER PATCH STATION PC RZ :  1.06
SDIA2    SOUTH DOUGLAS        PC RZ :  0.63
PAIG     IGIUGIG              PP RZ :  0.47
JTMA2    MT ROBERTS TRAM      PC RZ :  0.47
SRVA2    STONY RIVER RAWS     PC RG :  0.44
PAJZ     KOLIGANEK            PP RZ :  0.41
ABYA2    AUKE BAY LAB DOCK    PC RZ :  0.41
FAFA2    PFAFF MINE           PC RG :  0.39
PACV     CORDOVA              PP RZ :  0.36
MCAA2    MONTANA CREEK        PC RG :  0.31
TLRA2    UPPER TALARIK CREEK  PC RG :  0.29
BLTA2    BARTLETT COVE        PC RG :  0.29
BLSA2    BENTALIT LODGE       PC RG :  0.29
PATO     PORTAGE GLACIER      PP RZ :  0.28
WOWA2    WILLOW RAWS          PC RG :  0.27
PASW     SKWENTNA             PP RZ :  0.27
SVRA2    SILVER SALMON LAKES  PC RG :  0.26

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE STATE.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
MAINLAND AND OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA.  THERE ARE INCREASED
PROBABILITIES OF BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE
NORTHERN THIRD OF THE MAINLAND.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT
$$

ACL



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