High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 201526
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 20 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 22.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 20.9N 109.0W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
20 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE...80 NM
SE...70 NM SW AND 40 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM E AND WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN
105W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO NEAR 21.9N 111.2W.
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 30 KT GUST TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 22.5N
113.5W. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 GUST 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 22.0N
115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 21.5N
115.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW POLO NEAR 20.5N
116.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC SAT SEP 20...

.TROPICAL STORM POLO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OVER W SEMICIRCLE.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM 94W TO 97W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 13N99W THEN RESUMES AT 16N120W TO
12N130W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 05N TO 11N
BETWEEN 80W AND 111W.

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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