Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 271725
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1225 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1225 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WITH DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND HAIL
   EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

...A FEW STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...mid afternoon.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Critical.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Early afternoon.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Along and south of Interstate 44.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Along and south of Interstate 44.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Severe thunderstorms have developed early this afternoon
across southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri.  These
storms are expected to continue increasing in coverage
and intensity through the afternoon.  Severe storms
are likely to develop into northeast Oklahoma and far
northwest Arkansas during the early afternoon hours
with significant severe weather possible.  Additional
severe storms are expected further west across northeast
Oklahoma during the afternoon and may also develop
southward into southeast Oklahoma by afternoon.
Conditions through early evening are supportive of
significant severe weather including destructive winds,
giant hail, and strong tornadoes.  The storms will increase
in coverage and likely transition toward a damaging wind
threat by mid to late evening as they develop southeastward.

Additionally, an axis of heavy rainfall is likely from
northwest Arkansas through eastern Oklahoma.  Recent
heavy rainfall may allow for rapid onset flash flooding
in a few locations.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Storms will begin to shift southeast of the region Sunday morning
with dry conditions on Monday and Tuesday. Low thunderstorm
chances return mid to late week, with limited additional severe
weather potential.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Severe weather watches and warnings should be expected late this
afternoon and evening. The holiday weekend will provide numerous
outdoor exposures which will further increase the potential for a
rapid safety response. Outdoor activities may need to be cancelled
this evening, especially if you are unable to quickly move indoors
to a substantial shelter.


weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$



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