Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXUS23 KWNC 271931
PMDSST
TROPICAL PACIFIC MEAN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE/SST/ OUTLOOK
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2016

MEAN TEMPERATURE ANOMALY SST OUTLOOKS ARE IN TENTH OF A DEGREE
CELSIUS FOR THE NINO 3.4 AREA OF THE TROPICAL PACIFIC /5N-5S AND
120W-170W/.  ANOMALIES ARE FROM 1981-2010 NINO 3.4 CLIMATOLOGICAL
SST /CLM/.

                    THREE MONTH OUTLOOK PERIODS
EG. JFM IS JANUARY THROUGH MARCH - FMA FOR FEB. THROUGH APR. ETC.
SEE NOTES BELOW ON TYPES OF OUTLOOKS

TYPE  JJA  JAS  ASO  SON  OND  NDJ  DJF  JFM  FMA  MAM  AMJ  MJJ  JJA
CONS -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6 -0.6 -0.5 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6
U68   0.4  0.2  0.2  0.3  0.3  0.3  0.3  0.2  0.2 -0.0 -0.0  0.0  0.2
L68  -0.7 -0.9 -1.1 -1.3 -1.5 -1.6 -1.5 -1.3 -1.1 -1.1 -1.1 -1.2 -1.3
U95   0.9  0.8  0.9  1.0  1.2  1.2  1.1  0.9  0.8  0.5  0.5  0.7  0.9
L95  -1.2 -1.4 -1.7 -2.1 -2.4 -2.6 -2.4 -2.1 -1.8 -1.6 -1.6 -1.8 -2.0
CCA   0.3  0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.5 -0.7 -0.9 -0.9 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -1.1
CA   -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2
CFS  -0.9 -1.1 -1.2 -1.2 -1.3 -1.3

CLM  27.2 26.9 26.8 26.7 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.8 27.3 27.6 27.8 27.6 27.2


CONS - OFFICIAL CONSOLIDATED OUTLOOK
U68  - THE UPPER LIMIT OF 68 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FORCONS
L68  - THE LOWER LIMIT OF 68 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
U95  - THE UPPER LIMIT OF 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
L95  - THE LOWER LIMIT OF 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
CCA  - CANONICAL CORRELATION ANALYSIS OUTLOOK
CA   - CONSTRUCTED ANALOG OUTLOOK
CFS  - NCEP CFS VERSION 2 DYNAMIC MODEL OUTLOOK
CLM  - CLIMATOLOGICAL MEAN NINO 3.4 SST
THIS PRODUCT IS AVAILABLE IN A GRAPHICAL FORMATON THE INTERNET AT
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV    /LOWER CASE/

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