Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 050649
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
248 AM EDT SUN JUL 05 2015


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 05/1200 UTC THRU JUL 08/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...

THE WELL DEFINED AND NEARLY CLOSED OFF MID LEVEL SYSTEM OVER THE
TN VALLEY THIS EVENING IS FORECASTED SIMILARLY BY ALL OF THE
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE TO LIFT SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES BY
MONDAY MORNING.  EXPECT A RATHER ORGANIZED COMMA HEAD/DEFORMATION
BAND RAINFALL PATTERN TO PERSIST WITH THIS FEATURE..PRODUCING
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM EASTERN TN/KY INTO
SOUTHWESTERN VA AND SOUTHEASTERN WV..WHILE TO ITS EAST A
DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL WARM AIR/MOISTURE ADVECTION PATTERN SHOULD
SUPPORT INCREASING RAINS FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN NC INTO MUCH OF
THE REMAINDER OF VA.  IN GENERAL..MODEL QPFS ARE SIMILAR WITH A
RAINFALL MAXIMUM STRETCHING FROM THE KY/VA BORDER UP THRU THE
SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF VA..AND STUCK CLOSE TO THIS IDEA.  AREAL
AVERAGE 1-2 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS EXPECTED..WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.


...LOWER MS VALLEY THRU THE GULF COAST STATES...

A MID LEVEL SHEAR AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE TN VORT BACK THRU THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THRU THE
LOWER MS VALLEY SHOULD FOCUS SOME ENHANCED/MORE ORGANIZED
CONVECTION IN WHAT WILL BE A CONTINUED MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
WELL SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  STUCK CLOSER TO THE HIRES
MODEL QPFS HERE FOR THE FINER DETAILS..INCLUDING THE
ARW..NMMB..NSSL WRF AND ECMWF.


...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...

THE DIGGING OF THE SOUTHWESTERN CANADA H5 TROF INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY A SEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT WHICH WILL ALSO DROP
SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE REGION.  THE COMBINATION OF DECENT HEIGHT
FALLS..FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AIDED BY A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVING ALONG THE FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT..AND A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
JET ESPECIALLY LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT WHICH WILL BRING
IN HIGHER MOISTURE WITH PWS LIKELY POOLING TO NEAR OR OVER 2
INCHES VICINITY OF THR FRONT..WILL SUPPORT INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED
CONVECTION WITH HEAVY RAINS AS WE GET INTO THE LATER SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME HOURS.  FOR THE MOST PART THE MODEL MASS
FIELDS WERE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS DEVELOPING
SYSTEM..LEADING TO RATHER HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE RESULTING
CONVECTIVE EVENT.  QPF-WISE..THOUGHT THE NAM WAS A BIT SLOW/NORTH
AND WEST OUTLIER WITH ITS HEAVIER RAINFALL AXIS..WHILE THE NSSL
WRF MAY BE A BIT TOO FAST WITH ITS HEAVIER RAINS INTO IA LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED FRONTAL WAVE MAY HOLD THINGS UP
A BIT AT THIS TIME.  WPC QPF WENT IN BETWEEN THESE 2 "OUTLIER"
SOLUTIONS..WHICH WAS GENERALLY SUPPORTED BY THE REMAINDER OF THE
QPF GUIDANCE.  FAIRLY WIDESPREAD 1-2+ INCH RAINFALL TOTALS LIKELY
FROM EASTERN SD INTO MUCH OF MN..WITH SOME ISOLATED GREATER THAN 3
INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.


...WESTERN STATES...

SHORTWAVES RIDING UP THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES RIDGE AND ALSO TRAPPED UNDERNEATH THE
RIDGE THRU THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES...WILL
COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HEATING AND SOME MONSOONAL
MOISTURE WHICH HAS WORKED ITS WAY INTO THE PARTS OF THE REGION TO
SUPPORT INCREASED CONVECTION THRU MUCH OF THE WESTERN STATES.  WPC
QPF GENERALLY TOOK A BLEND OF REASONABLY AGREEABLE MODEL QPFS AND
CONTINUITY...WITH MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE AMOUNTS EXPECTED.

DAYS 2/3...

INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/SOUTHWEST/ROCKIES...

MOISTURE WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD...PARTICULARLY FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST SOUTHWARD...WITH
PERTURBATIONS CONTINUING TO ROTATE ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE
UPPER HIGH...ALONG WITH CONTRIBUTIONS FROM UPSLOPE DUE TO
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE
PLAINS...SUPPORTING SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY LIKELY COVERAGE OF
CONVECTION.  RELIED UPON A 3-WAY BLEND OF THE 00Z NAM/GFS AND 12Z
ECMWF TO DERIVE THE AMOUNTS WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS
ACCOUNTED FOR DUE TO THE TERRAIN.

UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST...

THE MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW CROSSING MINNESOTA AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH THE FRONT WEAKENING AS IT PASSES.  MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW INCREASING CONVERGENCE WITH THE TRAJECTORY OF THE
LOW AND THUS THE AXIS OF PRECIPITATION...WITH THE GFS GENERALLY
LEADING THE WAY THE LAST COUPLE DAYS.  FOR THE QPF...USED A
SOLUTION ABOUT 2/3RDS 00Z GFS TO 1/3 12Z ECMWF TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
LINGERING SOLUTION SPREAD.  BASIN AVERAGE TOTALS WILL BE HIGHEST
ALONG THE PATH OF THE LOW ACROSS MINNESOTA...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS
ALONG THE TRAILING COLD FRONT.

SOUTHERN PLAINS/MIDDLE MS VALLEY/OH VALLEY...

THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM FLOW ALONG THE
CANADIAN BORDER IS STILL EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AS IT ENCOUNTERS
INCREASING MOIST AIR AND WEAKER FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEARING
2.25 INCHES WITH ANOMALIES APPROACHING 4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL WILL BE AVAILABLE AS THE FRONT ENTERS THE REGION WITH
WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE INITIATION EXPECTED.  MODELS ARE INITIALLY
QUITE CLOSE TO EACH OTHER AS CONVECTION BEGINS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...BUT THEN SHOW INCREASING DIFFERENCES AS THE MESOSCALE
TAKES OVER AND POSSIBLE CONTRIBUTIONS FOR ENHANCING THE
LARGER-SCALE EXIT THE ROCKIES AND RIDE ALONG THE FRONT.  THE 00Z
NAM LOOKS QUITE REASONABLE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY NIGHT BUT THEN
BEGINS TO STRAY FROM THE PREFERRED CLUSTER OF GUIDANCE THAT IS
ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE 00Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF AS A
WHOLE...ALTHOUGH MORE TOWARD THE ECMWF BY TUESDAY NIGHT DUE TO
BETTER ENSEMBLE MEMBER SUPPORT FOR THE SURFACE LOW TRACK.  WHILE
THE MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND THEREFORE CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY
WILL BE MODEST AT BEST...THE AMOUNT AND DEPTH OF MOISTURE WILL
SUPPORT WEAK CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND THEREFORE FAVOR WIDESPREAD
HEAVY AMOUNTS.  THE VEERING WIND PROFILES FAVOR TRAINING CELL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH BACK BUILDING CHARACTERISTICS TOWARD THE
SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF ANY LINES THAT FORM TOWARD THE LEADING EDGE
OF THE LOW LEVEL JET.  THE MODEL AGREEMENT FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT FOR QPF SUPPORTS 2 TO 4 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION OVER
SOUTHERN KANSAS WHICH WAS UPGRADED TO MODERATE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR SUCH HIGH RAIN RATES AND SLOW
CELL MOTIONS.  OTHERWISE...THE PREVIOUS SLIGHT RISK AREA FOR
EXCESSIVE REMAINED ABOUT THE SAME.

AFTER A POSSIBLE RESPITE IN THE RAIN RATES TUESDAY MORNING AS THE
LOW LEVEL JET WEAKENS...ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY
DEVELOP OVER NORTH TEXAS AND POSSIBLY SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA TUESDAY
NIGHT.  THE 00Z NAM WAS CONSIDERED TOO STRONG ALOFT BY THIS
TIME...THEREFORE NEGATIVELY IMPACTING ITS FRONTAL ORIENTATION AND
QPF...THUS ITS QPF WAS NOT USED.  OTHERWISE...THE 12Z ECMWF SEEMS
QUITE REASONABLE.  HOWEVER...SOME NORTHWARD ADJUSTMENTS WERE
INCORPORATED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE NORTHWARD TRENDS IN THE WAVE ALONG
THE FRONT.  THESE CONSIDERATIONS RESULTED IN A NARROW AXIS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ACROSS THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREA...WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACCOMPANYING THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS.  THERE IS
ALSO A POSSIBILITY FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL TO BE TRANSPORTED
DOWNSTREAM INTO THE SOUTHERN OH VALLEY AND NORTHERN TN VALLEY
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WHERE WIND PROFILES BECOME SLIGHTLY
MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL WITHIN THE DEEP MOIST AXIS...THUS SUPPORTING
BACK-BUILDING DEVELOPMENT.

MID-ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST...

A MOIST AND MOSTLY WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH SUFFICIENT ASCENT FOR CONVECTION
LIKELY TO BE GENERATED WITHIN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH CROSSING THE APPALACHIANS...AS WELL AS ALONG DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING ZONES NEAR HIGHER TERRAIN AND ALONG COASTAL AREAS.  GIVEN
WEAK FLOW ALOFT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS QUITE POSSIBLE.
HOWEVER...MODEL AGREEMENT ON PRECISELY WHEN AND WHERE SUPPORTS
MAINTAINING RELATIVELY LOW BASIN-AVERAGE TOTALS...WITH A BLEND OF
THE 00Z NAM/00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF RELIED UPON TO DERIVE THE FINAL QPF
VALUES.

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

TERRY/JAMES


24HR QP VT 06/12Z
 0.01 529162 509126 507122 506117 503109 501099 499087 500078
      501074 500071 496069 496060 497044 496034 497024 497010
      500997 507975 511965 514952 514945 515937 519927 525911
      526906 526899 527885 527878 527875 525875 522878 519878
      518873 517865 516860 517854 516846 516835 513831 510828
      505826 501828 498831 492838 482856 472872 454899 443913
      428927 420933 417936 413941 409949 405959 403964 402970
      401975 401983 401991 402997 401004 398006 387015 374024
      362032 354037 349039 345040 340041 336043 332046 324046
      318045 313041 308030 303023 294024 291025 286024 278020
      271016 268014 264014 258018 262023 268027 276031 282038
      285041 287047 285053 281057 270058 264067 267074 278090
      282093 282098 283103 285106 289113 293118 299123 306129
      313133 319134 323137 328138 331135 333131 336130 340131
      360138 364136 367133 366126 366122 369119 371115 366108
      360102 353102 350100 350098 356096 360094 364094 366092
      364088 364084 367084 379096 385102 390105 393106 394109
      390114 384114 379115 378123 375129 376131 382131 389126
      395128 398128 399131 399136 395138 393139 391137 387135
      385134 382134 379137 379142 385147 387150 387155 384161
      379162 382171 373178 366177 361178 361183 364188 371194
      386203 392206 390195 388185 387180 391177 397173 400165
      402162 405159 407164 407171 407175 408181 409187 410191
      408193 404197 403202 402209 404216 409214 411212 412215
      412227 413234 416234 421234 424231 429223 431216 432210
      430202 426191 424183 424173 425169 427163 428160 427153
      427148 427141 427135 427131 429129 433127 436131 439135
      444138 448141 454142 459144 463147 466147 470146 473145
      475149 478157 484165
 0.01 484165 487167 489168 492169 496170 499171 502171 505171
      507170 509167 511165 512163 515161 518162 521164 524165
      527164 529162
 0.01 486691 480670 476664 470658 464655 460656 458659 445668
      441675 439680 439687 440697 441704 443708 442713 439716
      435720 438721 440724 444727 448729 455727 459720 472711
      478705 483698 486691
 0.01 409138 408136 406136 404135 403135 401136 402139 404140
      406140 407140 409138
 0.01 403802 403795 402788 401781 400777 398772 396770 391764
      378752 372747 369744 369739 368725 364724 362725 357730
      352735 349740 346742 341744 335747 329751 322758 311770
      301780 297782 291783 285784 281786 264794 262796 261802
      256809 256817 261823 273834 267835 264837 261842 268846
      268849 265853 263859 264868 266874 268878 273886 284900
      294912 298917 302924 307930 310933 314935 323939 330944
      336950 340958 343965 345967 348965 355961 360959 363959
      366961 374976 378984 382987 385988 387986 387982 386972
      385967 385960 389949 387945 389943 391938 389936 382931
      373927 361922 357919 357913 357898 353888 352881 354877
      361870 366864 371860 374857 376854 379845 382833 384829
      387825 393819 398811 403802
 0.01 346910 347908 347906 347903 347901 347899 347897 345895
      345893 345890 343889 342891 342893 342895 341897 341899
      342901 343904 343906 344907 345908 346910 346910
 0.25 512898 511892 509886 506883 504878 502873 499871 495872
      492874 479886 473894 465903 453915 441925 426938 421945
      416954 414959 415966 420974 421977 421984 421997 420010
      418018 415023 410030 408034 407042 406048 404052 400055
      396055 380060 374059 369057 368051 366049 363049 361053
      361056 363061 361067 364070 369072 372075 373080 376083
      380085 388086 396085 409085 411081 413079 415079 419082
      419088 419093 416094 411092 409097 405105 405110 407113
      410116 415115 421114 424109 426105 430103 433101 436102
      437104 443107 445112 449112 455108 462105 463102 462096
      457094 453089 449081 448077 446083 442080 439078 440073
      443068 445060 450053 456046 460041 461034 456026 457010
      460000 466992 475979 477982 477990 476008 475016 475021
      476025 480026 483022 487012 490999 494979 500953 506929
      510913 512898
 0.25 497146 498140 498133 497125 493117 490109 487102 485100
      483103 484113 483118 481122 479125 479132 479137 480140
      487144 493148 497146
 0.25 395796 396790 395784 391777 381769 370761 365753 363750
      359748 356750 353753 349759 343770 336783 327798 322804
      322808 319811 316815 310819 307822 306826 308830 311831
      317826 323821 326819 331819 338821 336830 333837 328843
      314852 309857 302861 296863 291859 283857 279858 277861
      276865 277872 280879 284885 289891 293895 296901 305912
      311918 318922 324926 329931 338939 340941 345943 354943
      362942 366941 369938 346924 342918 338910 334903 329897
      326889 327884 329881 332876 334868 337861 342853 345851
      347851 354855 362855 370851 377839 381824 391810 395796
 0.25 371189 375192 378193 379191 378188 374185 372184 370184
      368185 369187 371189
 0.25 347081 347077 345075 340073 334074 329077 328079 327083
      330088 333093 336098 338100 341100 342098 342094 342087
      346083 347081
 0.25 325109 320097 319091 315087 305081 300079 296079 294081
      295085 297086 299090 298095 294094 291096 292099 295103
      299107 302113 305118 309121 315124 318123 319120 325109
 0.25 303065 303063 303062 302061 301060 299060 298061 297061
      297063 296065 296067 296069 297070 298070 300070 301069
      302068 302067 303065
 0.25 293820 290816 285812 280809 276807 270808 266812 266817
      268819 272820 277821 283822 289823 293820
 0.50 504916 504908 503903 502897 500893 493890 488887 483889
      477894 472900 460915 455920 449925 435937 428942 423947
      421952 419957 419963 422966 426968 426973 426985 425998
      426011 428021 430026 432029 439029 443027 445022 446019
      443014 442010 443007 448998 453989 458981 462975 470969
      476964 478962 481963 482970 482982 484993 487980 492960
      499938 504916
 0.50 451100 450097 448095 447094 445095 444096 444099 445101
      446103 447104 447105 448104 449103 451102 451101 451100
 0.50 390799 389787 388783 385779 373772 367766 364764 360765
      358768 357772 360783 360792 362803 362812 359822 357830
      356841 360848 364848 370844 376834 381815 386808 388804
      390799 390799
 0.50 390079 388077 386079 388080 390079 390079
 0.50 380076 380074 379074 378073 378076 379077 380076
 0.50 344934 337917 333912 328906 321902 319898 317894 314873
      301879 296879 293881 297889 305903 311907 315911 317909
      319911 324919 335930 339934 344934
 0.50 319114 317112 316110 314107 312105 311103 309102 307104
      304105 304108 305110 306113 307115 310117 312118 314118
      317116 319114
 1.00 489924 489920 486921 484919 484915 482912 479910 478907
      474908 471910 464920 459927 451935 447937 444941 437949
      433959 434964 433973 431984 430993 431000 434002 437000
      440997 446988 457969 462961 469958 474950 479939 489924
 1.00 381796 382791 380787 376787 371790 368795 369804 369813
      367820 369823 370822 371817 372810 374805 379800 381796
 1.50 447978 453967 456959 456949 450946 446946 444949 443955
      441964 438971 435980 435986 438989 443984 447978
 2.00 447973 451967 452965 452962 450961 448963 445968 442972
      440977 441979 444978 447973

24HR QP VT 07/12Z
 0.01 532782 530768 524764 516771 510778 501791 499791 498789
      498783 490784 480787 473792 459804 443820 429833 418846
      411853 403859 396862 392864 387863 374859 371858 372854
      374849 380842 388836 392834 399832 404830 410829 413817
      416808 418802 422799 434788 436777 435773 433771 432763
      432756 430753 429748 427743 418730 413720 405729 402732
      396733 389734 383736 373738 363735 357740 350747 346753
      343756 339757 335760 332764 325771 303792 299794 294795
      281798 259797 253797 250800 243805 245818 242821 243825
      250829 254830 259830 269833 271837 277837 281838 286838
      290840 291845 296860 300869 304877 309885 313890 316893
      330907 333911 335915 339928 340931 344932 351936 356938
      355943 350953 341968 333979 314013 309014 304015 293016
      288017 283020 275027 274033 266035 261037 255038 245038
      243042 244045 247052 256064 269076 277082 284085 289088
      288095 295105 300112 304115 310117 313119 318119 326116
      331114 336116 338121 338128 338133 342134 351136 362138
      363141 363147 376173 372177 367179 363183 364188 365190
      381202 389206 396212 399216 404219 410226 410229 408232
      405232 403230 400232 404240 408245 417246 426242 426239
      424237 424233 425228 429224 429218 427213 422209 412204
      411199 409195 406192 405186 405182 405177 403166 403162
      407161 412162 418156 420145 421141 422134 424128 427125
      432120 437120 440123 445118 448114 451110 453104 453100
      452098 450092 445090 446087 449081 454070 456062 452060
      450056 449051 448046 445041
 0.01 445041 440036 434035 419029 415028 412026 407021 402014
      399007 398004 401001 405996 414984 423975 428969 435966
      443964 449963 458963 463963 466960 475952 486940 500912
      507898 510891 513881 519867 521858 524847 528830 530822
      531817 531809 532782
 0.01 516156 516150 515145 513143 511139 510134 508131 506129
      501127 495125 490128 488132 489137 493143 499149 504154
      508159 512161 514158 516156
 0.01 488022 488017 488015 486012 485009 483006 482004 480006
      478009 478012 478017 479019 479022 481025 484026 486025
      488022
 0.01 378107 377103 374098 371091 369086 366081 365079 360076
      356078 354082 352086 348088 345091 346096 347101 350104
      353107 359109 365113 370113 373111 378107
 0.01 326083 327079 323076 322072 318067 315062 312060 308060
      307059 305061 302068 302074 307076 310079 315084 317085
      321086 326083
 0.25 525810 525804 522797 519791 516790 507796 501802 493812
      486821 482826 479827 475821 470819 466818 461820 456824
      452828 441843 432850 424856 419860 415865 409877 404885
      401890 396893 386897 380899 377903 374908 373914 371921
      369936 366952 362963 357974 352982 345988 336994 332997
      329001 317024 313027 307027 294028 290030 289033 290036
      291040 294042 301043 306041 317038 320038 322040 326044
      340048 346050 349053 356062 361063 366063 371068 378078
      385070 394070 398072 403069 407071 410072 413071 416067
      417062 414057 412054 405049 393044 384038 379034 375028
      371025 365024 363023 363020 363013 366008 371005 374001
      377998 382990 385986 391984 397983 401980 409971 411964
      412959 414956 423954 429952 435951 455953 459951 464949
      472942 481932 487921 499901 508883 512871 516856 520843
      524826 525810
 0.25 435102 436097 435092 433090 431088 430086 426084 423086
      421088 420090 420095 421098 422100 425103 427104 430105
      433104 435102
 0.25 417778 412771 406764 398758 390755 382754 369755 362753
      356754 353757 350767 348772 351773 352776 355779 359779
      362778 366782 369787 369793 367804 363814 367817 372818
      382816 385813 389808 395803 402796 415781 417778
 0.25 392200 390196 386194 385191 380190 376188 371187 373189
      376192 379196 382199 385201 391202 392200
 0.25 358125 358120 357118 354115 353114 350112 348111 344111
      344112 345116 346118 347121 348123 350126 353127 355126
      358125
 0.25 351897 352892 349888 343885 337882 332878 326872 321870
      320873 321879 325885 330889 336893 342896 349898 351897
 0.25 339793 340789 338788 335786 328794 315806 311809 308811
      299813 280808 271806 265808 262809 260807 257806 255808
      256812 260811 262813 265817 268820 271822 281824 287824
      291825 300828 305829 307827 313826 316823 323816 326814
      330810 334803 337799 339793 339793
 0.25 288066 289062 288060 285055 280051 275048 269048 264050
      263051 262055 264060 268064 273068 278071 283072 287068
      288066
 0.50 519832 519825 519818 515806 513805 509807 505811 497818
      492825 488831 481838 478840 474842 467838 460841 456845
      443855 436861 433860 428862 422865 420870 420877 421879
      420883 419887 420890 420898 415906 412908 410907 410904
      406902 401903 394905 389906 385908 381914 378920 373939
      370951 367961 359976 356982 352988 344993 336997 331003
      327012 326021 327026 329030 334035 339039 347039 351037
      353033 360012 378989 387975 397959 401951 405942 408936
      412930 415928 418930 419933 418937 417942 419945 424944
      430944 447947 455947 462944 470938 476932 485918 494903
      501890 509873 515851 517840 519832
 0.50 433097 433095 433094 431093 431092 429091 428089 427089
      426091 428094 429095 430097 431097 432098 433097
 0.50 409063 410059 408057 404053 393048 389045 382042 377040
      373037 370040 364042 357042 354042 353046 354053 356056
      359057 372057 376058 382062 387063 393062 398061 405062
      409063
 0.50 400774 399769 397765 393763 390761 386759 382758 377760
      377764 380766 383768 388769 391771 395775 398776 400774
 0.50 387198 386197 385196 384195 383195 382195 382197 384198
      386199 387198
 0.50 296819 294815 290814 286813 282812 277811 273811 270814
      272819 276820 280821 285821 290821 296820 296819
 0.50 281063 282061 282059 281057 279056 278055 278054 276053
      274053 272053 271054 270056 270058 271060 272061 273063
      275064 277065 279065 280064 281063
 1.00 513840 512830 510825 506823 500825 493833 490838 486844
      481855 478861 476870 474876 472881 468886 465893 464900
      464908 457918 450928 448933 452937 457936 461934 466930
      471925 484906 491898 498887 503876 508862 511851 513840
 1.00 457881 454880 451882 444887 439892 436897 431904 429907
      429911 434907 439900 444895 449890 454884 457881
 1.00 398938 396931 395926 393919 387916 382925 376938 368965
      364975 357987 350994 338999 333007 332015 335021 339025
      343028 347027 349025 353020 358009 361004 365000 372992
      380981 391959 395950 398938
 1.00 383051 382049 381047 379047 378046 376046 374046 372047
      370048 369050 370052 370053 372053 374054 375054 377054
      379055 381055 383054 383053 383051
 1.50 508841 506833 503832 499833 494838 491843 488849 486859
      481873 478879 473885 470890 472900 476901 478900 483897
      488892 493887 496881 497871 503857 505851 508843 508841
 1.50 392949 388927 385928 382931 379936 377943 370965 367975
      361985 355992 352996 348998 339002 336006 334012 336016
      340019 345021 350019 355010 358005 362001 368995 375986
      379978 384968 392949
 2.00 502842 501838 498839 496840 494843 492845 491848 490853
      492858 495855 497853 498851 500848 501844 502842
 2.00 386956 387949 387944 386937 386933 384934 377950 370970
      367978 362986 358993 351999 344002 340004 337008 338013
      341015 346016 351014 354007 360000 366994 372988 380972
      386956
 3.00 380956 379955 378956 379958 380956 380956
 3.00 377972 378967 378963 376963 375965 373968 372972 371974
      369978 369981 371981 373980 375977 376974 377972
 4.00 375972 376970 375969 375970 373972 373974 373976 374974
      375973 375972

24HR QP VT 08/12Z
 0.01 526174 525162 524156 522154 515147 506142 492130 485123
      479114 474107 469097 463096 458095 454086 451076 449071
      449067 450063 460048 464040 466036 466031 464025 467019
      469014 470008 470001 467998 463998 458001 450004 446006
      441007 432010 421010 416012 411012 408016 407022 410031
      412033 413035 412038 403039 399040 396040 393039 390036
      388037 386041 383039 380035 376035 371036 365035 360036
      354035 342032 332031 332027 335023 339021 342017 349010
      354003 359992 363983 365979 369977 382969 391955 397933
      399919 402908 404896 408887 411878 412874 416871 427859
      433850 439842 452828 465817 478804 485795 489788 494778
      501773 507767 509766 509763 508755 507748 506742 504729
      503720 502715 500705 500700 497700 492702 490701 489698
      489691 490688 489683 482682 477683 473682 460694 442704
      434708 429709 425708 419713 414722 412728 408731 401736
      396742 386748 381750 378753 369751 365750 360750 353753
      343753 338753 334756 322770 318778 312785 306790 303792
      298794 287795 277796 272795 265795 262796 260795 259791
      256790 255801 251809 251814 253817 252824 256835 263841
      270843 281842 285837 289835 299837 309840 313841 319841
      323842 328842 335847 326851 325856 326859 327859 343867
      348874 352881 354886 354890 351901 349910 345921 338942
      334951 329960 320975 309990 298002 291006 284009 277009
      272011 269012 267016 262024 255030 258040 261048 264059
      266068 277080 281083 284087 289094 296099 299103 302106
      309111 318114
 0.01 318114 323114 326111 327108 332108 335110 342115 345120
      348127 352133 356135 359136 367138 371140 371146 364155
      369156 371159 374162 375166 378173 377178 374181 368181
      364183 364186 370191 375196 382201 385204 389206 400215
      406218 408220 407224 404226 400227 399230 400232 406236
      413237 419235 422231 424227 429226 433224 436222 438221
      436218 435213 433210 430204 425198 424195 423190 425186
      426179 424173 424169 421170 418171 417177 416183 414188
      411185 411182 409172 415168 421162 422154 421150 421144
      419135 416139 412141 410140 408137 407132 409129 409124
      407122 411118 421125 432117 437117 439119 437122 433128
      432136 437141 439141 441137 445131 451125 453127 457128
      460131 462135 463142 471158 480169 482172 485176 489181
      500174 514172 521174 526174
 0.01 399767 399761 397755 394753 389754 381757 380762 382766
      380768 375770 373772 368773 361778 356784 350789 343794
      340796 338800 337804 337808 339810 345813 350813 353814
      361810 364809 367804 370797 372794 377792 390785 395777
      398770 399767
 0.25 491731 491726 491721 489719 486718 479718 476717 475711
      473703 467701 453708 451709 449714 445721 442725 437729
      428740 424745 422751 421759 418764 415772 414775 412777
      391796 381805 376807 373812 370816 367824 366829 368833
      367842 366858 366869 365877 362894 358909 352923 345937
      334960 328971 321982 313993 304002 296012 292016 288022
      287026 287030 290037 300046 317059 323072 327078 331082
      338082 343079 349075 355073 362073 368075 375079 381081
      393082 401081 407078 417070 419067 420063 421057 422054
      424046 421044 417046 416048 413050 406050 398049 391050
      385049 378047 371046 364047 358051 353055 350063 349065
      346067 340065 334060 336058 332054 320050 316043 315041
      314036 319030 325025 329022 334020 340016 344011 349005
      351000 357986 362974 367969 372966 379963 383958 386952
      389943 392929 396911 398893 400875 402867 405862 410859
      416858 419858 422855 425850 433839 441830 446825 448817
      448812 449809 454806 458807 461805 466801 473792 475788
      474783 471779 476773 480766 482763 483758 483753 486739
      491731
 0.25 488136 487136 486135 485136 486137 487137 488136
 0.25 451100 450097 446096 444094 442091 440089 437090 436093
      434097 436100 439102 441103 442103 446101 448101 451100
 0.25 444771 442771 442772 440773 440774 439776 438777 437779
      437780 436782 436785 438783 439782 439781 441779 442776
      443774 444772 444771
 0.25 417220 417218 415218 414219 415221 416222 417220
 0.25 405212 403207 398202 393199 388195 383191 380190 379194
      381196 385200 390204 395207 400211 405212
 0.25 305818 304816 301814 293813 284812 278811 274810 269811
      269815 272818 277820 285823 291825 298827 302825 304823
      305818
 0.25 283039 282038 281036 280036 279035 277035 275034 273034
      271035 271036 270038 270040 270042 271043 272044 273044
      274045 276045 278045 278044 280043 281041 282039 283039
 0.50 464767 462765 460767 460768 459769 458771 457772 457774
      457776 458777 459776 459775 461774 462773 463772 464770
      464768 464767
 0.50 438748 438747 436747 434748 434749 435751 436751 437751
      438749 438748
 0.50 434830 434828 432827 431827 429829 428831 427831 427834
      426836 427838 428839 429838 430838 431836 432835 433834
      434833 434830 434830
 0.50 426827 425825 424826 423827 422828 421829 421831 420832
      419834 419835 419836 421835 421834 422833 423832 424830
      425829 426827 426827
 0.50 416793 413789 409790 407792 402795 396796 382817 379821
      377828 373842 371860 371867 370874 367889 364903 360917
      353929 348939 341951 335962 329973 323984 315994 308003
      304009 302015 303022 309026 316024 321022 327019 333017
      338015 342011 349000 354987 359974 362969 367965 377960
      381954 384948 388933 391920 394903 395885 395870 395862
      396855 398841 398836 397833 395831 395826 394816 395812
      397809 402799 408798 409800 412799 416793
 0.50 381058 381053 380051 378050 374050 372051 368051 367052
      363054 362056 365058 366059 370060 372062 375063 377064
      379063 380060 381058
 0.50 298821 298819 297819 296818 294818 294817 292817 290818
      290819 288819 288820 290820 292821 293822 294822 296822
      298821 298821
 1.00 390886 390880 389875 388862 387855 385851 383850 380852
      376859 374870 372891 371901 371906 371912 370917 368921
      362926 352939 348945 344954 335969 326983 317997 313003
      311007 311011 313015 317016 326016 335012 340008 345001
      348992 355976 360968 365961 372956 377949 380941 382933
      385922 386911 390886
 1.50 380916 380913 380911 378911 377913 377915 376916 376918
      377918 378916 380916 380916
 1.50 373936 373931 372928 369929 362934 355941 350948 340965
      330982 320997 315006 315009 318013 324013 329012 336008
      340004 342000 346991 354971 359962 364954 369946 373937
      373936
 2.00 355958 356954 355950 350954 343965 335975 328988 322999
      318005 318008 320010 328010 333008 338003 341997 346984
      351969 355958
 3.00 343980 343976 339976 335979 333982 331986 329990 327995
      327001 330001 333999 337995 339991 340986 342982 343980
 4.00 336986 336984 335984 334986 335987 336986

$$




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