Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 252151
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
551 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID SEP 26/0000 UTC THRU SEP 29/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


UPDATE...

ADJUSTMENTS TO THE PRELIM DAY 1 PERIOD FOCUSED SOLELY ON THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT PERIODS AND WERE BASED IN LARGE PART ON
RECENT SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS AS WELL AS RECENT RUNS OF THE HI-RES
GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE OPERATIONAL AND EXPERIMENTAL HRRR.
CHANGES INCLUDED AN EASTERN SHIFT IN THE AXIS OF HEAVIER QPF
ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS.  MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES PUSHING EAST INTO THE
I-35 CORRIDOR ARE EXPECTED TO PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR CONVECTION
DURING THE LATE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  ABUNDANT
MOISTURE AND AMPLE INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS REGION ARE EXPECTED TO
HELP SUPPORT HEAVY RAINFALL RATES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
MEANWHILE WITH THE INSTABILITY TEMPORARILY EXHAUSTED...EXPECT
RAINFALL RATES TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE FURTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS
THE TX HILL COUNTRY.


DAY 1...

...TEXAS / SOUTHWEST U.S....

THE ANTICIPATED HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS UNFOLDING IN TEXAS. THE MOST
FOCUSED AND EXPANSIVE HEAVY RAIN HAD OCCURRED EAST OF THE BIG BEND
VARIOUS OVERNIGHT OUTFLOWS AND AN MCV LIFTING OUT OF MEXICO WERE
SUPER-IMPOSED ON THE INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT AS AN UPPER
LOW CLOSES OFF IN MEXICO. THE LOW ITSELF...HOWEVER...WILL
IMMEDIATELY BEGIN RETROGRADING...RESULTING IN A NET LOSS OF
GRADIENT AND WIND SPEEDS THROUGH A SIGNIFICANT DEPTH OF THE COLUMN
OVER TEXAS. AT THE SAME TIME...HOWEVER...COLD POOLS WILL CONTINUE
TO ENCOURAGE THE MOST ROBUST CONVECTION TO PROPAGATE SLOWLY
EASTWARD NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR...FINDING THE CAPE GRADIENT ALONG
WITH MODEST LOW LEVEL INFLOW. THE VERY RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE IN
PLACE...PW VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES...WILL SUPPORT INTENSE LOCAL
RAIN RATES AND SOME WARM RAIN PROCESSES...WHILE THE ABSENCE OF
COORDINATED DEEP LAYER ASCENT SHOULD TEND TO RESULT IN SOME
FRACTURING AND OVERALL LAZY APPEARANCE OF THE CONVECTION.

WE WOULD EXPECT ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL TO FORM BACK TO THE WEST
IN BETTER PROXIMITY TO UPPER FORCING...AND AS BACKED LOW LEVEL
FLOW ENCOUNTERS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...BUT GIVEN THE EXTENT OF
ONGOING OUTFLOWS...THIS MAY OCCUR STRADDLING THE RIO GRANDE...WITH
A GOOD DEAL OF THE HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING IN MEXICO TONIGHT AND
MONDAY...THOUGH THIS WILL STILL BE OF CONCERN TO RIVER FORECASTS
IN THE UNITED STATES. THAT BEING SAID...THERE WERE MODEL SOLUTIONS
THAT STILL WANT TO PRODUCE VERY RAIN ON THE U.S. SIDE...SUCH AS
THE 12Z GFS. GIVEN THE OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS...WPC FAVORED THE
OLDER 06Z GFS...AS WELL AS THE 12Z UKMET AND SOME OF THE HI-RES
MODELS...AGAIN STRADDLING THE RIO GRANDE...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY
SHOWING POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR
NEAR AND SOUTH OF DEL RIO.

IN A BROADER SENSE...WPC FOLLOWED THE TREND OF MOST GUIDANCE TO
SUPPRESS HEAVIER AMOUNTS FARTHER SOUTH...WHILE MAINTAINING THE
SHAPE OF THE QPF WITH LITTLE CHANGE. WE DID INCREASE AMOUNTS ALONG
THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS COAST PER OUR BLEND FAVORING THE GFS/ARW. THE
WESTWARD EXTENT OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS PRETTY WELL AGREED
UPON IN THE MODELS AND ENSEMBLES...WITH AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF A
TENTH UP TO A HALF INCH FORECAST ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.


...EASTERN U.S. FROM THE OZARKS TO THE GREAT LAKES AND
APPALACHIANS...

A NARROW RIBBON OF HIGHER PW VALUES...1.5 INCHES OR SO...WILL
SWEEP EASTWARD THROUGH THE MIDWEST / GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHERN
MID ATLANTIC AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY...HOWEVER...WILL BE GREATEST THIS EVENING FROM
MISSOURI INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES...BUT WILL THEN BE HIT AND
MISS FARTHER EAST DEPENDING UPON MESOSCALE EVOLUTION OF
PRECIPITATION AREAS AND CLOUD COVER. THE WARM SECTOR IS NARROWED
BY PERSISTENT RIDGING OVER THE NORTHEAST...AND A SLOWLY RETREATING
WARM FRONT IN THE OHIO VALLEY. AS SUCH...QPF EXPECTATIONS ARE ON
THE LIGHT TO MODERATE SIDE. THE MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THE LARGE SCALE...AND WPC BEGAN WITH A 20/20/30/30
BLEND OF PREVIOUS WPC / UKMET / GFS / WRF-ARW.


...SOUTHEAST U.S. FROM SOUTH CAROLINA TO FLORIDA

A CIRCULATION ALOFT OVER THE SOUTHEAST WAS BEST DEFINED AT 250
MB...AND THE DIFLUENT REGION EAST OF THE LOW OPENS UP OVER THE
ATLANTIC...ENSURING A LITTLE GREATER COVERAGE OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS
JUST OFFSHORE OF FLORIDA UP TO SOUTH CAROLINA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO FORM INLAND...WITH THE TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS...AND GREATER
COVERAGE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS LOOK TO
BE IN THE 0.10 TO 0.50 INCH RANGE...THOUGH WITH FAIRLY RICH
MOISTURE IN PLACE A FEW HEAVIER EMBEDDED DOWNPOURS ARE LIKELY.


DAYS 2 AND 3...

...GREAT LAKES/OH VALLEY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED CLOSED LOW WILL DIG ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY REGIONS THROUGH THE DAY 2 PERIOD.  BY
THE DAY 3 PERIOD...THE CLOSED LOW WILL SWING SOUTH AND THE TROUGH
WILL ELONGATE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY.  AT THE SURFACE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING
EASTWARD...STRETCHING FROM THE NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC TO THE
SOUTHEAST AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.  ALONG THIS FRONT...DEEP MOISTURE
WILL FEED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALONG WITH INSTABILITY FROM
DAYTIME HEATING WHICH WILL FIRE OFF CONVECTION DURING THE DAY.
HOWEVER...THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY OFFSHORE BY
THE END OF THE DAY 2 PERIOD...THUS PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE
GENERALLY NEAR OR UNDER 1 INCH ACROSS COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC.

CYCLONIC FLOW COMBINED WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL LEAD TO
LAKE-EFFECT SHOWERS OVER THE DAY 2/3 PERIOD.  AS THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW SITS OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON DAY 2...HEAVY RAIN ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES COULD BE POSSIBLE...WITH VALUES
NEARING 1" ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN.  AS
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES SOUTHWARD ON DAY 3...EXPECT LAKE-EFFECT
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE BUT WITHOUT AS MUCH COVERAGE AS DAY 2.

BY THE AFTERNOON OF TUESDAY/DAY 2 AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF
WEDNESDAY/DAY 3...THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS SOUTHWARD...THE
SURFACE FRONT STALLS OUT ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND INTO THE
SOUTHEAST.  ONCE AGAIN...PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE ON
TAP AS THE STATIONARY FRONT ACTS AS A FOCAL POINT FOR SETTING OFF
CONVECTION. EXPECT MOST COVERAGE TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON-EVENING AS THE FRONT CONTINUES ITS SOUTHWARD TREK.  WPC
MAINTAINED A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS/SE VA/SMALL AREAS OF COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SINCE THE FRONT
WILL BE SLOWER TO EXIT THIS REGION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
CONVECTIVE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE A FLOODING RISK.  WPC ALSO
USED A 12Z GFS/ECMWF BLEND FOR QPF.


...SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE SOUTHWEST...

AS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF AFOREMENTIONED FRONT CONTINUES TO BE
STALLED ACROSS SOUTHEAST/DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
THE BIG BEND AND COASTAL SOUTH TEXAS CAN BE EXPECTED ON DAY 2.
HOWEVER...THE FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY PUSH SOUTH ACROSS BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...MEANWHILE DRY AIR FROM HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING THE FRONT
WILL HELP CONVECTION TO TAPER OFF ACROSS THE BIG BEND/WEST TEXAS
AND CONCENTRATE MOSTLY IN MEXICO.  BY DAY 3 THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE RIGHT OFF THE DEEP SOUTH TEXAS COAST AS THE TAIL END OF IT
STALLING RIGHT OFF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE TRANSPORTED ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AS
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW RETROGRADES ACROSS NORTHWEST MEXICO AND INTO
SOUTHERN CALI.  EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN. WPC ONCE
AGAIN USED A 12Z GFS/ECMWF BLEND.

...SOUTHEAST U.S...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SET OFF ACROSS
FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST...OVER THE DAY
2/3 PERIOD.  AS THE FRONT APPROACHES NORTH FLORIDA...SUMMER-LIKE
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AS WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL HELP SET
OFF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE STATE.


PEREIRA/BURKE/FANNING


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

24HR QP VT 27/00Z
 0.01 540205 538196 535189 531181 524179 522180 518179 513181
      510185 509191 509201 513208 516217 518220 521221 525223
      527226 531228 534226
 0.01 549922 549914 549906 545897 538892 532885 531882 532879
      533875 536862 535857 533851 529838 526828 521822 509812
      504807 496803 488802 483798 482792 481783 476776 464764
      458758 448760 441761 436761 431761 427764 417766 407770
      399773 393778 386782 380787 373791 368791 366790 358787
      355790 354795 352798 347799 342790 340789 339785 340779
      347772 354766 356762 355758 349753 339755 334755 331753
      327744 324742 320744 318747 316751 302758 289770 282774
      276775 273772 270769 265767 257766 245769 243773 241777
      241783 239787 240798 233814 235824 239831 244830 247829
      251828 253831 259836 264844 269844 273842 282843 286845
      289848 290853 290859 287883 287890 288895 291898 295899
      299901 298903 296907 297912 299918 298924 290925 286926
      283928 275926 268931 263937 261940 259945 252949 248953
      247957 243965 240976 237979 236985 237996 241005 234018
      238024 246026 250027 253030 256037 257041 256045 258054
      264071 270077 275084 285101 289110 292114 296116 308119
      309122 315123 319123 323122 327117 330114 334115 338113
      341110 342097 343085 341080 339077 333074 332072 332068
      335065 336059 332038 331028 332022 333018 342004 346996
      349987 359974 368960 378944 388927 391923 394920 400913
      412899 417898 420896 428895 445890 449889 449894 449906
      448911 448918 450924 452928 455931 456937 460946 464958
      467962 472964 487970 493971 497970 505966 512963 515960
      517957 524951 530947 541939 547933 548925 549922
 0.01 520269 519250 517233 516229 513226 508223 501222 494222
      490226 489236 488242 489246 489254 484258 479261 479267
      482270 480275 482284 484289 492293 497293 504293 509291
      512289 513286 517281
 0.01 375853 373851 369856 362861 355869 347875 340882 333887
      324895 320902 317916 316921 316928 317934 317940 325944
      326946 328945 331940 334935 335930 337918 342910 354893
      360884 364874 374855 375853
 0.01 329870 329863 328857 327853 325847 320848 317851 318857
      320861 321866 321870 321875 325874 328871 329870
 0.01 292803 290801 290799 288798 288799 287802 287804 289805
      291805 292803
 0.25 537923 537919 536916 532915 527914 524911 511896 506888
      500884 495878 493876 494873 496870 506867 508864 512861
      515858 518852 517844 514838 509831 503826 497819 491815
      478805 471800 468797 466792 462784 458783 454781 446779
      442777 437778 416781 404783 398785 394788 381797 373802
      370804 365805 361804 358806 355810 353814 351819 349824
      348836 346840 349843 355837 362832 367827 378813 381810
      386808 391808 394810 398811 403811 411810 419813 421815
      422820 424825 422828 417836 411845 404852 398857 392864
      382877 382882 386882 391880 392884 393888 395889 398885
      406880 412875 419877 424879 428879 435878 446875 453874
      459875 463877 464881 463888 460899 460906 461912 463916
      467918 471925 473930 474935 474943 476949 481951 485949
      490947 496948 501948 505948 513947 521942 526936 533929
      537923
 0.25 504276 505273 505271 505269 503268 503267 502266 500265
      498265 498266 498268 498270 498271 499273 500274 500275
      502276 504276 504276
 0.25 508248 509246 510243 510241 509238 508236 506236 505237
      504238 503239 503241 502244 502246 503248 503249 504251
      506251 507250 508248
 0.25 489891 489889 488888 486888 486889 485890 483891 482892
      481892 482893 483894 485893 487893 488892 489891
 0.25 386900 386896 385894 381895 379900 378904 376909 375914
      373919 373924 377920 379918 381913 383909 384904 386900
 0.25 376882 374881 370885 366889 362894 359899 356903 355909
      360905 364901 367897 371892 374887 376882
 0.25 347969 347957 346954 344953 338954 328958 324954 321949
      318947 312947 307947 303943 297935 292934 286935 282936
      277938 269946 262952 255959 249966 246978 248980 246982
      243985 243993 244998 255017 258020 259026 262035 264048
      270058 275065 281074 286083 293091 299099 303102 307102
      310102 315101 319096 321090 322084 321078 320072 319067
      317062 319056 324053 326051 327048 323023 323009 328998
      331994 335992 338988 341984 347969
 0.25 335773 335768 332765 327764 318763 312762 300769 295775
      294779 296784 298792 299802 300810 298817 305819 314819
      321816 326810 328814 331816 334815 334811 334805 332800
      330792 328783 332777 335773
 0.25 342867 341864 340865 339867 341868 342867
 0.25 307846 306839 304835 302834 299835 296838 298845 299849
      300855 301859 304862 306859 307852 307848 307846
 0.25 293822 293820 292819 291818 290818 288817 286817 285818
      283819 281821 281822 281823 283824 285825 287825 289824
      290824 291824 292823 293822
 0.25 288835 288833 286832 284832 282832 280832 278832 277834
      279836 281836 282837 284837 286836 288835 288835
 0.25 284785 282783 278783 273785 271782 270778 265773 260772
      254773 249778 246784 245790 246796 248799 250804 251812
      252819 254822 261821 267822 269820 268817 264812 264810
      267807 274806 279802 283797 283794 283789 284785
 0.25 272834 271832 269834 268835 270836 271836 272834
 0.25 264827 263825 263824 261824 260823 259823 259825 260826
      260827 262828 263827 264827
 0.50 522928 523924 522919 520915 513907 507900 505898 502897
      498900 490906 484913 481918 480924 482931 486934 494938
      498940 504940 514938 518935 522931 522928
 0.50 511846 511842 509839 504833 495825 491822 484820 479818
      474813 470810 464806 459805 452804 445804 440809 444818
      441824 443833 443837 445839 446842 444846 438848 431850
      424852 419856 426857 428860 426862 421867 423870 429873
      438872 444871 450868 456865 463863 468863 474867 476869
      480868 486864 497859 506853 510849 511846
 0.50 470895 471890 470887 468888 466891 465895 464898 463901
      463905 465908 466910 468910 468905 469903 470898 470895
 0.50 427786 424785 421785 419784 415784 412784 408786 407788
      406792 408794 409797 412798 414798 416797 420795 421794
      424791 426789 427786
 0.50 402790 402788 401788 401790 402791 402790
 0.50 376803 374803 372805 372806 372808 373809 374808 376805
      376803
 0.50 364827 364825 363823 363820 364818 363816 362816 361816
      360819 359820 359821 358823 356825 356826 356828 356829
      358830 360829 362829 363827 364827
 0.50 332772 331769 327768 322768 316767 312767 311770 307770
      303771 299775 299782 301787 303794 305801 307808 306814
      312815 315813 317811 318804 318802 321801 323803 326800
      326792 323784 321779 321777 325776 330774 332772
 0.50 335962 334962 332962 329964 328967 330968 334964 335962
 0.50 320044 320037 319030 317017 317009 318002 318988 319984
      317981 315977 319965 321959 318954 314952 310953 303960
      297970 293972 290971 290969 292964 294958 294952 294944
      292939 286939 279943 272951 255964 255969 254972 252973
      252976 256974 257971 260972 264974 274980 276983 276987
      275989 268990 264988 257986 255987 254991 259001 260009
      261015 263019 265024 266032 267046 271055 278061 281065
      283070 290079 294083 297086 307089 311090 313087 313083
      312068 305061 303057 303051 307049 314047 318046 320044
 0.50 299044 298043 297042 297041 296042 297043 297044 298045
      299044
 0.50 279796 279792 276789 272789 270787 268784 267779 262775
      255777 250784 248790 252796 256801 259804 263804 270804
      276801 279796
 0.50 259809 260807 259805 258804 256804 255806 255808 255810
      256810 258810 259809
 1.00 510924 510921 509918 506916 504915 500915 498916 496919
      495921 495927 497929 499930 502931 505930 508929 510926
      510924
 1.00 493845 493843 491841 491840 491841 490843 489843 488845
      488846 490846 491845 493845 493845
 1.00 484849 485844 484839 483836 481838 479841 478842 475845
      473847 472850 473854 475856 477857 480858 482855 483852
      484849
 1.00 466839 467836 466834 465832 465831 464829 463829 462829
      460829 459830 457832 457835 458837 459839 460842 461843
      463843 464842 465841 466839 466839
 1.00 318791 317787 316785 312784 310782 309780 309775 306775
      304776 305779 305782 305784 305787 308790 310791 311792
      315792 318791
 1.00 309077 309076 308074 307074 306074 306076 307077 309078
      309077
 1.00 312030 312024 311020 307015 305011 306005 308998 310994
      310988 309979 307975 305975 297977 287978 283983 279991
      276994 273995 264994 264997 266001 266004 265010 269018
      272021 275022 285024 292027 301029 307034 310035 312032
      312030
 1.00 303998 304996 303994 303992 302991 302989 301989 299989
      297989 295989 295990 293991 292993 292995 293998 293000
      295001 297002 298002 300002 302000 303998
 1.00 287960 287955 284954 282956 279958 276962 273964 270966
      267970 270972 274974 278974 281970 283966 285964 287960
 1.00 283037 283034 283032 281030 279029 277030 276032 275034
      274036 275038 277039 278039 280038 282037 283037
 1.00 274797 275795 275793 273793 272793 271794 270795 269796
      269798 270798 272798 273798 274797
 1.00 264790 264788 264786 264784 264782 262780 261781 259782
      258783 257783 256785 255785 254787 252789 252790 254791
      256791 257791 258791 260792 262792 264790 264790
 1.50 305023 302014 300008 293004 289999 288995 288992 292987
      296986 301986 305986 304983 297980 290981 286982 283985
      281991 279995 275997 269997 269009 272018 278020 284021
      290024 298026 301025 305023
 1.50 262788 262786 261785 259786 259787 260788 261788 262788
 2.00 300021 300016 298012 294008 287004 285997 282993 280997
      277999 271001 273007 274016 280017 287019 292023 297023
      299022 300021
 2.00 285989 284988 284989 284990 285989
 3.00 280003 278003 278005 280003
 3.00 296019 296018 295016 294015 293014 292014 292016 291018
      292020 292021 294021 295021 296019 296019

24HR QP VT 28/00Z
 0.01 456606 473634 476644 478652 480656 484664 489673 494684
      504704 512720 516730 519739 525760 534781 539794 542805
      550820 555853 557867 556873 556880 553903 550914 547922
      543931 537940 522946 514950 505947 491942 485940 482937
      475930 469924 462920 457918 455916 450911 441895 432879
      428871 426869 421870 421863 422858 423852 426850 429852
      432849 437842 438836 437829 434826 431821 430816 432810
      437802 446787 438786 434795 431802 427809 421818 417823
      415823 414819 416814 419805 422797 423793 424789 422788
      403796 394801 387807 381813 377820 368833 359848 348862
      343869 339873 336876 326888 313901 306908 303916 301921
      302926 302938 302943 301947 298956 288969 286972 282976
      275981 273986 274991 283994 291993 298996 306001 310004
      313008 320026 324036 328043 333051 337057 339060 344061
      348061 350063 348067 345068 342070 343073 345076 347078
      348077 350075 353073 356081 357090 356096 355100 352099
      349101 348105 349108 351111 356115 361122 361128 358133
      352135 346130 340126 336121 332117 328115 319116 319118
      322119 327119 330119 334123 332127 328129 323129 321130
      321132 325134 327137 325147 320149 316150 322155 324159
      323166 320168 314166 307162 301156 290143 291127 297121
      298115 300113 303114 304112 299109 291105 279095 274087
      271083 269078 268074 264070 259065 245055 239052 234047
      230039 231027 234018 236015 236010 232005 227994 225968
      235960 239957 243956 246954 250950 254946 258943 264933
      268929 270927 274926 281927 284928 285925 286916 287911
      286904 286902 288899 294886 299874 298867 296861 291847
      275830 272827 269827 266826 263827 258828 254826 248827
      243831 237831 235829 235824 238812 239810 239806 242801
      245795 250791 255788 259785 269779 280773 286769 291764
      300756 305747 308742 313737 321728 328726 336725 341728
      346730 354737 359740 362741 365739 372729 383707 390694
      395682 400673 407661 413649 429611 456606
 0.01 535212 537204 538198 539190 538184 532167 519156 516152
      513150 508150 501154 498156 496160 497166 495169 496179
      500186 502191 501195 498199 494199 490205 476210 473212
      470215 464218 460223 463226 467228 469230 467232 465234
      459237 456239 454242 455246 459248 467247 475250 474259
      475265 479267 484269 486268 494271 501276 506278 509277
      516275 518271 520266 518256 521246 525235 529227 535212
 0.01 323055 319052 314052 307050 300048 293050 298054 298060
      301063 302068 301073 302076 306078 309075 309070 311066
      314065 315062 318060 321057 323055
 0.01 300836 300832 298828 296826 296824 292823 289823 285824
      281824 278826 282827 284828 287828 289829 292830 294832
      296834 297836 299838 300836
 0.25 453626 462643 467651 466657 464662 461666 452670 445673
      442676 443683 419740 453735 462735 470729 485730 491733
      497738 507746 511751 515757 520765 523773 527783 531793
      537809 539815 539823 539832 537836 533836 531837 531840
      532845 535855 536859 539861 541864 541870 541874 537882
      536892 537903 532910 528918 522925 520928 517929 511928
      503931 499931 493930 486927 480923 469915 465913 463909
      460902 458892 456880 454871 449867 446863 445857 447846
      449838 449827 447816 448811 449805 450800 453796 455795
      459797 462804 466814 470820 475825 483826 489829 492834
      494837 495843 497848 502848 511848 522849 524844 524840
      522835 521828 521824 518821 513816 508812 503806 495795
      487779 483772 478767 475765 470764 463769 455770 448770
      433779 414783 408782 401779 399775 399770 396771 396774
      393780 390783 388782 385782 382785 378791 363821 358830
      354836 349843 343847 329801 318803 309801 307799 306795
      307788 307777 307771 309767 314761 320756 325751 328750
      333750 340753 344760 345770 348773 351774 356771 362767
      365763 367759 371752 377738 380729 384721 392707 423653
      430641 437631 453626
 0.25 532203 534194 533189 532187 529182 528175 526169 522166
      519164 515166 509173 504171 501171 499174 501177 505177
      508176 510178 513181 520189 522196 523203 526207 529207
      532203
 0.25 511249 509238 508233 505229 501222 498218 495219 493214
      489213 486215 485219 486222 491223 493227 497236 501246
      505255 508256 510252 511249
 0.25 525820 524819 524818 523815 522814 521813 519813 517814
      517816 518818 518819 520821 521823 522823 523824 523823
      524823 525820
 0.25 505263 505258 503257 500254 497253 494251 492250 491250
      490254 490257 491260 494263 497264 500265 502264 505263
 0.25 499863 499862 498860 497858 496858 495857 494858 493858
      492859 490861 492863 492865 493866 494866 495866 496865
      497864 499863 499863
 0.25 344098 344096 344094 343094 342091 340090 339091 337093
      336095 335097 335099 336101 338102 339102 341102 343100
      344098
 0.25 230983 234991 240998 244005 249010 256015 258020 257024
      252025 247025 244026 241029 238040 241044 245046 253050
      259055 266058 272058 275056 281050 284043 286038 290035
      299034 309033 312030 312028 309020 305011 300004 296003
      291003 285002 281001 273997 267991 264986 267981 270978
      277973 283968 287962 290953 290947 287944 281945 278947
      272950 261950 254957 248962 241965 231971
 0.25 303089 302087 301086 300086 301088 301089 302090 303089
 0.25 299095 299092 298092 297091 295090 293090 291091 291092
      293094 294095 296096 298096 299095
 0.25 291803 288799 281796 273792 269790 264791 255795 253799
      252803 253806 256807 260811 263813 270817 274818 277817
      285812 290805 291803
 0.50 536813 532803 528793 524784 520776 515767 512764 509766
      510773 512778 516785 521792 526801 530809 533814 536813
 0.50 524171 522169 520169 520170 520172 520173 522174 523173
      523172 524171
 0.50 506248 507245 507243 507242 506239 504237 503236 501238
      502241 503243 504244 505245 506247 506248 506248
 0.50 523886 522879 519873 514874 511877 503886 497888 491888
      487885 483880 478870 479862 481855 481850 481845 478840
      473839 468843 465846 463854 463861 464868 465877 464883
      462890 463900 466904 470905 487918 492920 497922 502921
      505919 515911 520902 522892 523886
 0.50 457854 458852 458849 458847 457845 456844 454844 454845
      453846 452848 451849 451850 450853 450855 451857 453857
      454857 455857 456855 457854
 0.50 440755 437751 432752 426755 422759 417762 413765 409770
      411774 414773 421771 426769 432766 435766 439761 440755
 0.50 428671 428667 426666 424668 417675 407689 397705 388721
      384729 380738 377746 373754 370761 365770 355784 349790
      346799 346811 345817 343820 341824 340830 343835 347832
      356819 374787 386774 391767 395760 398751 400745 402741
      409735 413729 417721 421711 426693 424687 426681 428671
 0.50 342098 342096 342095 340094 339095 339098 340098 342098
      342098
 0.50 336784 336776 333769 329766 325764 318765 313768 311775
      312781 315787 319791 324792 329790 335786 336784
 0.50 302023 303017 302012 299008 295007 288008 280005 271001
      264997 259991 255986 255980 257977 268976 274972 279968
      285960 285956 283952 266957 261958 258959 251964 237970
      234974 234979 235984 237988 242994 245002 250007 258011
      265015 270021 272024 271027 269031 266033 257036 251036
      247036 247042 249045 252047 268052 272051 274048 277044
      277038 282031 288028 299028 302023
 0.50 280809 278808 276808 274808 274809 275811 277811 278810
      280809
 1.00 413701 411699 409701 404706 395719 388731 382745 380753
      377760 375764 375770 377775 380773 384767 385758 387751
      391745 401732 406728 409721 410711 412704 413701
 1.00 358803 359801 358799 356801 356802 356804 355806 357808
      357806 358804 358803
 1.00 296019 296016 292015 291014 289014 285014 282014 280014
      276013 275015 276017 278020 281021 285022 287022 289022
      292022 294021 296019
 1.00 276966 274962 272962 263961 257964 252969 245972 242973
      242978 245980 250978 254972 256971 259972 264973 268972
      274969 276966
 1.00 257002 257000 257999 256998 255997 253996 251996 251998
      251000 252002 253002 255003 256002 257002

24HR QP VT 29/00Z
 0.01 466593 489622 492635 489652 487660 484664 481665 477664
      472665 467667 465665 462666 455668 451670 448673 440688
      437695 436699 440699 457694 460697 460703 462706 461708
      455712 446715 441716 438719 432723 426724 424722 427718
      427713 417722 413729 411736 406744 401751 398757 394766
      391771 389776 390780 407777 415780 418782 421787 425795
      426805 417820 414822 414828 417835 421832 425825 428819
      430814 433809 436804 439801 443800 450800 455803 457808
      460812 461816 464823 467833 470843 474862 475875 476888
      474899 471907 467913 462918 456921 452923 448923 441923
      434921 431919 428915 423906 420903 417901 412894 403884
      398878 396874 392873 388872 386870 385868 387863 391857
      397853 401851 403849 403843 401839 399836 397837 389837
      384843 379851 374858 371860 368858 365854 365845 361841
      359839 359836 378807 381801 381796 382791 378788 376787
      373788 370790 364796 357801 342810 337816 332822 325833
      321838 318846 316854 315858 312862 309880 304895 301903
      298906 293906 290904 289899 291897 293894 291892 288891
      286887 285883 286880 288872 287868 285865 284862 283857
      282846 282841 280838 273834 266832 263831 260828 255824
      251818 247811 246798 249790 253784 266775 280769 307756
      321749 328746 335742 340735 344729 349721 353713 371686
      375680 378675 384670 389663 397653 430595 466593
 0.01 231002 233010 233015 233022 232033 232043 233051 231061
      232069 241071 251072 258076 266079 274077 279073 285067
      287064 287058 284051 282044 280040 277036 266026 264019
      267017 269012 266005 264996 262990 272989 278985 278974
      283970 285966 283961 287954 287949 285947 282945 277945
      273947 268947 264945 262942 258935 249923 245923 241925
      236930 234936 233944 233953 232960
 0.01 528100 530089 530079 528063 526047 525044 523044 518048
      514053 512058 507071 503085 501106 501110 502114 502116
      505118 512119 517117 521114 524110 528100
 0.01 529883 529880 527879 524877 516875 506877 500882 496885
      493886 489889 488894 490896 495897 498898 502897 510895
      519893 526889 529883
 0.01 515722 514709 511700 506695 501691 488690 481693 475699
      471706 471716 471736 472746 474750 476752 482756 488757
      495754 501750 510737 513730 515722
 0.01 397152 399146 398142 394134 391125 389116 385110 378104
      366094 363087 359078 356075 353075 345076 338077 334078
      330076 327074 322073 318072 313072 301077 298075 293074
      289075 287078 286082 288085 295090 309096 316100 323105
      329110 334115 338122 341132 345138 347142 349144 352146
      357147 362148 365145 368143 369147 371150 370155 363157
      361161 364165 374167 381165 397152
 0.25 457612 466626 464630 461635 457638 448643 442650 438660
      434670 426688 422697 417707 412715 406722 400729 394738
      390746 385754 374770 368778 362784 355790 351793 346795
      340795 336793 331788 332778 333772 335766 335760 338755
      344750 352745 355745 356743 360738 365730 369723 391692
      398684 403675 411658 417647 432615 457612
 0.25 499732 499729 500726 499724 498722 496722 496725 497727
      497730 497731 498732 499732 499732
 0.25 445868 445867 443867 443868 445869 445868
 0.25 435873 434868 431864 429862 424860 420859 417858 414861
      413865 415870 417875 419877 425879 428879 433878 435874
      435873
 0.25 407820 404817 399818 395821 392824 389826 387829 387834
      392833 395830 399828 403825 405822 407820
 0.25 368124 368117 366113 362110 358109 354106 352103 351098
      351093 350090 348088 342089 335092 331094 331098 333101
      337104 344107 352108 356115 362123 365125 368124
 0.25 303863 302861 302860 302859 301857 301855 300854 299855
      298857 298859 298861 298863 299865 299867 299868 300870
      301870 302867 302865 302864 303863
 0.25 232976 237979 240984 243996 251004 254002 255996 256988
      259982 268977 272973 273968 270963 266959 258952 256950
      252951 248955 241963 237966 233971 232971
 0.25 267060 266059 266058 265057 264056 263055 261054 261053
      259052 258051 257051 256052 255053 256053 257055 259056
      260057 261058 262060 264061 266061 267060
 0.50 451620 456628 454631 449635 444641 440647 433661 428676
      425683 421691 414703 411710 405717 399721 394725 391732
      386738 384745 380752 376757 373766 369770 366769 365766
      365758 369750 373744 374738 376729 380721 386717 393713
      397708 400700 405687 409680 412671 418657 423646 436621
      451620
 0.50 268970 266965 263962 257958 250960 246962 242966 238969
      237974 242977 250978 257977 263976 267972 268970
 1.00 437637 436634 435637 436637 437637
 1.00 435645 435642 433641 433643 432645 431648 433649 434647
      434646 435645
 1.00 432653 432650 431649 431651 432653 432653
 1.00 424672 425669 425667 424665 423663 421662 421663 420665
      419666 418668 418669 417671 417672 416674 416676 416677
      418678 420677 421676 423675 424672 424672
 1.00 257970 255968 254968 254967 252966 252965 251966 250967
      248967 248968 246969 246970 248971 250972 252972 254972
      255971 257970 257970

$$




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