River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 050233
RVFGRN
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:33pm EST Wednesday, March 4, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Alvaton - Drakes Creek - LMK
: Zero Datum 443.07 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Warren County, KY
: Record River Stage     42.1 ft
: Major River Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   29.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      22.0 ft
: Action River Stage     20.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR ALVK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:   21.0
: Crest near   21.0 ft around 1PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   8.8 /   8.7 /   8.6
:     Mar 04   /   8.5 /   8.4 /   8.4 /   9.4
:     Mar 05   /  15.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 17.1 ft at 845pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER ALVK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  17.9 /  19.6 /  21.0
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  20.0 /  18.6 /  16.4 /  15.2
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  14.2 /  13.3 /  12.4 /  11.8
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  11.2 /  10.7 /  10.3 /   9.9
.E5 : Mar 09 : /   9.7 /   9.8 /  10.2 /  10.9
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  11.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.14 /  0.04 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.07 /  0.27 /  0.33 /  0.69
:     Mar 05   /  0.49
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.37 /  0.48 /  0.21
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   4.2 /   0.3 /   0.8
:     Mar 03   /   6.3 /   3.0 /   3.9 /   9.2
:     Mar 04   /  15.7 /  15.5 /  11.4 /   8.2
:     Mar 05   /   3.6 /  -0.6 /  -4.0 /  -6.2
:     Mar 06   /  -5.0 /  -8.9 / -13.0 /  -8.7
:     Mar 07   /  -2.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Munfordville - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 451.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Hart County, KY
: Record River Stage     57.7 ft
: Major River Stage      57.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      28.0 ft
: Action River Stage     26.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 10AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR MFVK2 20150306 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   30.0
: Crest near   30.0 ft around 7PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 3AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   9.9 /  10.5 /  12.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.7 /  14.4 /  14.5 /  16.3
:     Mar 05   /  21.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 22.9 ft at 900pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER MFVK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  25.1 /  27.1 /  29.0
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  30.0 /  29.1 /  25.7 /  21.5
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  19.6 /  17.8 /  16.2 /  14.9
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  13.7 /  12.8 /  11.9 /  11.2
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  10.6 /  10.5 /  11.0 /  11.8
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  12.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.10 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.02 /  0.34 /  0.53 /  0.99
:     Mar 05   /  0.41
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.46 /  0.46 /  0.19
:     Mar 06   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   3.9 /   0.2 /   0.2
:     Mar 03   /   4.8 /   0.5 /   1.5 /   7.7
:     Mar 04   /  15.3 /  15.0 /   9.3 /   7.5
:     Mar 05   /   3.4 /  -1.3 /  -5.0 /  -6.8
:     Mar 06   /  -5.9 / -10.5 / -13.9 /  -9.9
:     Mar 07   /  -3.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Brownsville - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 413.03 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Edmonson County, KY
: Record River Stage     44.9 ft
: Major River Stage      41.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   32.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      18.0 ft
: Action River Stage     16.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 6AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR BRNK2 20150306 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   18.6
: Crest near   18.6 ft around 1AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
: Fall below flood level around 8PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  12.1 /  12.4 /  12.7
:     Mar 04   /  12.8 /  13.2 /  13.9 /  15.4
:     Mar 05   /  16.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 16.8 ft at 845pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER BRNK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  17.5 /  18.1 /  18.4
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  18.5 /  18.6 /  18.6 /  18.5
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  18.2 /  17.0 /  16.0 /  15.2
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  14.6 /  14.2 /  14.0 /  13.8
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  13.7 /  13.7 /  13.8 /  13.8
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  14.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.09 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.05 /  0.34 /  0.70 /  0.81
:     Mar 05   /  0.51
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.49 /  0.45 /  0.16
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   3.0 /  -0.2 /   0.1
:     Mar 03   /   5.2 /   1.2 /   1.9 /   8.1
:     Mar 04   /  15.6 /  15.2 /   9.0 /   7.3
:     Mar 05   /   3.1 /  -1.5 /  -5.0 /  -6.7
:     Mar 06   /  -5.6 / -10.3 / -14.4 /  -9.9
:     Mar 07   /  -3.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Woodbury - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Butler County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     58.9 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      48.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      33.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     31.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR WDBK2 20150306 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFFX :crest:   38.2
: Crest near   38.2 ft around 1AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
: Fall below flood level around 6AM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  20.4E/  20.3E/  20.4E
:     Mar 04   /  20.7E/  21.1E/  22.5E/  26.5E
:     Mar 05   /  30.0E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage MISSING
:
.ER WDBK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  34.6 /  36.5 /  37.5
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  38.1 /  38.2 /  38.0 /  37.6
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  37.2 /  36.7 /  36.1 /  35.5
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  34.7 /  33.9 /  32.4 /  30.9
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  29.5 /  28.4 /  27.7 /  27.4
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  27.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.06 /  0.30 /  0.81 /  0.58
:     Mar 05   /  0.61
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.52 /  0.44 /  0.13
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   2.1 /  -0.5 /  -0.1
:     Mar 03   /   5.6 /   3.1 /   2.9 /   8.6
:     Mar 04   /  16.3 /  15.0 /   8.8 /   6.5
:     Mar 05   /   2.0 /  -2.2 /  -5.1 /  -6.7
:     Mar 06   /  -5.7 /  -9.7 / -14.1 / -10.0
:     Mar 07   /  -3.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Rochester Ferry - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 372.6 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Ohio County, KY
: Record River Stage     41.6 ft
: Major River Stage      30.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   25.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 4AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR RCHK2 20150308 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   20.4
: Crest near   20.4 ft around 7PM EST on Sat, Mar 7
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  13.9E/  13.8 /  13.8E
:     Mar 04   /  13.9E/  14.1E/  14.8 /  15.7E
:     Mar 05   /  16.3E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 16.3 ft at 539pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER RCHK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  16.7 /  17.2 /  17.8
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  18.3 /  18.8 /  19.2 /  19.6
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  19.8 /  20.0 /  20.2 /  20.3
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  20.4 /  20.3 /  20.2 /  20.0
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  19.7 /  19.3 /  18.9 /  18.5
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  18.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.00 /  0.31 /  1.08 /  0.66
:     Mar 05   /  0.72
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.56 /  0.37 /  0.08
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.0 /  -1.4 /  -1.0
:     Mar 03   /   4.2 /   2.1 /   2.1 /   7.3
:     Mar 04   /  16.7 /  13.9 /   7.8 /   5.1
:     Mar 05   /   0.5 /  -3.3 /  -5.5 /  -6.9
:     Mar 06   /  -6.1 / -10.5 / -14.9 / -10.9
:     Mar 07   /  -3.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Paradise - Green River - PAH
: Zero Datum 363.19 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Muhlenberg County, KY
: Record River Stage    403.7 ft
: Major River Stage     400.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage  386.0 ft
: Flood River Stage     380.0 ft
: Action River Stage    378.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR PRDK2 20150307 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:  385.4
: Crest near  385.4 ft around 1PM EST on Sat, Mar 7
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           / 375.6 / 375.4 / 375.2
:     Mar 04   / 375.2 / 375.5 / 376.8 / 379.1
:     Mar 05   / 381.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 381.8 ft at 815pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER PRDK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         / 382.3 / 382.9 / 383.5
.E2 : Mar 06 : / 383.9 / 384.2 / 384.5 / 384.8
.E3 : Mar 07 : / 385.1 / 385.2 / 385.3 / 385.4
.E4 : Mar 08 : / 385.3 / 385.2 / 385.0 / 384.6
.E5 : Mar 09 : / 384.2 / 383.7 / 383.2 / 382.6
.E6 : Mar 10 : / 382.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.02 /  0.22 /  0.99 /  0.62
:     Mar 05   /  0.65
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.57 /  0.42 /  0.10
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   1.0 /  -1.2 /  -0.7
:     Mar 03   /   4.2 /   1.6 /   2.3 /   7.5
:     Mar 04   /  16.7 /  14.7 /   8.0 /   5.1
:     Mar 05   /   0.2 /  -3.5 /  -5.9 /  -7.1
:     Mar 06   /  -5.9 / -10.7 / -14.8 / -11.2
:     Mar 07   /  -3.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Dundee - Rough River - LMK
: Zero Datum 393.18 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Ohio County, KY
: Record River Stage     31.8 ft
: Major River Stage      30.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   28.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      25.0 ft
: Action River Stage     23.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR DUNK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   26.4
: Crest near   26.4 ft around 1AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
: Fall below flood level around 8AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  12.3 /  12.7 /  12.8
:     Mar 04   /  12.9 /  14.2 /  20.8 /  24.1
:     Mar 05   /  25.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 25.8 ft at 845pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER DUNK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  26.4 /  25.4 /  23.7
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  20.2 /  19.0 /  18.0 /  17.6
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  16.8 /  15.9 /  15.3 /  14.7
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  14.0 /  13.8 /  13.5 /  13.2
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  13.0 /  12.9 /  12.9 /  13.1
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  13.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.00 /  0.45 /  1.04 /  0.69
:     Mar 05   /  0.59
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.52 /  0.28 /  0.04
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   0.9 /  -1.7 /  -1.1
:     Mar 03   /   4.7 /   1.8 /   1.5 /   6.4
:     Mar 04   /  15.3 /  12.0 /   6.8 /   4.1
:     Mar 05   /  -0.4 /  -4.3 /  -6.5 /  -7.3
:     Mar 06   /  -6.5 / -11.0 / -15.2 / -11.1
:     Mar 07   /  -4.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Calhoun - Green River - PAH
: Zero Datum 353.95 ft (NGVD 1929)
: McLean County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     43.8 ft
: Major Pool Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   26.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 10PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
.AR CALK2 20150308 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFFX :crest:   23.7
: Crest near   23.7 ft around 2PM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
: Fall below flood level around 11AM EDT on Mon, Mar 9
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  15.5 /  15.4 /  15.4
:     Mar 04   /  15.4 /  15.6 /  16.4 /  17.6
:     Mar 05   /  18.9
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 19.3 ft at 900pm EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER CALK2 20150305 Z DC201503050233/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :         /  19.9 /  20.6 /  21.3
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  21.8 /  22.1 /  22.4 /  22.7
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  22.9 /  23.1 /  23.2 /  23.2
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  23.3 /  23.5 /  23.6 /  23.7
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  23.7 /  23.6 /  23.3 /  22.7
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  22.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.00 /  0.64 /  0.91 /  0.76
:     Mar 05   /  0.40
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05           /  0.52 /  0.22 /  0.03
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   0.9 /  -1.9 /  -1.1
:     Mar 03   /   4.7 /   2.7 /   2.6 /   6.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.8 /  11.4 /   6.4 /   2.7
:     Mar 05   /  -1.8 /  -4.7 /  -6.9 /  -7.6
:     Mar 06   /  -5.7 / -11.6 / -16.6 / -13.2
:     Mar 07   /  -4.6
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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