Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 292018
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/29/14 2017Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 2000Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...NEBRASKA...COLORADO...WYOMING...
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ATTN WFOS...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...RIW...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...SATELLITE FEATURES FOR POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LARGE SCALE PATTERN REMAINS NEARLY
UNCHANGED FROM PREVIOUS DAYS WITH ANOMALOUS MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN US, ALTHOUGH HAVE NOTICED THERE HAS BEEN SOME DEAMPLFICATION
WITH TIME OVER THE N ROCKIES.  THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE TODAY
IS THE STRENGTH OF UPSTREAM CIRCULATION CENTER AND ATTENDANT SHORTWAVE
TROF THAT WAS OVER E PORTIONS OF UT.  AT THE SURFACE SYNOPTIC FRONTAL
BOUNDARY HAS DROPPED S INTO PORTIONS OF E CO WITH MESOLOW NOTED JUST S OF
LIC HELPING TO BACK LOW LEVEL FLOW AND INCREASE E/SE MOISTURE TRANSPORT
INTO NE CO AND SE WY.  GOES SOUNDER WAS SHOWING INCREASING INSTABILITY
CENTERED OVER PORTIONS OF NE CO WITH LITTLE INHIBITION REMAINING OVER
MOST OF E CO AND SE WY.  CONVECTION HAS ALREADY BEEN DEVELOPING OVER
THE FAVORED FRONT RANGE AND FOOT HILLS OF PORTIONS OF SE WY AND E CO
WITH SHALLOW CU FIELD NOTED OVER E AND NE OF MESO LOW OVER PORTIONS OF
NE CO FROM ITR TO VIC OF AKO.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 2000-0200Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...MEAN RIDGE AXIS JUST E OF THE FRONT RANGE APPEARS
TO BE AT LEAST PARTIALLY AIDING IN INDUCING SOME SCATTERED PRESSURE
RISES FROM PORTIONS OF W SD EXTENDING W TO WY.  THIS IN COMBINATION
WITH MESOLOW S OF AKO IS HELPING TO  ALLOW FOR INCREASING E COMPONENT
TOWARDS THE TERRAIN.  LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL STEADILY INCREASE WITH
APPROACHING SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROF AND WOULD EXPECT CONTINUED
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT RANGE AND FOOT HILLS OF E CO AND
SE WY THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING.  THE OVERALL PATTERN
NOTED WAS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE MADDOX COMPOSITE PATTERN FOR SIGNIFICANT
UPSLOPE HEAVY RAIN EVENTS.  AREA SOUNDINGS ARE SE THROUGH A DEEP
LAYER WITH A ROUGHLY 3KM LAYER ABOVE 0C TO ENHANCE PRECIPITATION RATES.
PROFILES WOULD SUGGEST STORM MOTIONS AND SMALL SCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES
TO BE QUITE SLOW MOVING WITH POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT AND BACKWARD
PROPAGATION TO POSSIBLY ALLOW FOR SHORT TERM QUASI-STATIONARY SMALL SCALE
CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES TO ENHANCE HEAVY RAIN THREAT.  GENERAL PROGRESSIVE
NATURE TO SHORTWAVE TROF  APPROACHING THE REGION MAY HELP TO SOME EXTENT
LIMIT THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS AS FLOW SHOULD BEGIN TO VEER IN THE
06Z TIME FRAME ALLOWING FOR PERHAPS A MORE FORWARD PROPAGATING COMPONENT
TO ANY ORGANIZED CONVECTION.  STILL THOUGH THE COMPOSITE PATTERN AND THE
NARROW AREA OF MOST ANOMALOUS POST FRONTAL E MOISTURE FLUX WOULD TEND TO
FAVOR THE HIGHEST RAINFALL THREAT FROM THE FRONT RANGE AND FOOT HILLS OF
E AND NE CO EXTENDING NNW TO THE LARAMIE/MEDICINE BOW MOUNTAINS IN SE WY.
THIS ALSO AGREES WELL WITH RECENT DAY 1 QPF ISSUED BY WPC.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4282 10479 4192 10378 4004 10244 3900 10227 3787 10374
3851 10493 3996 10518 4154 10623 4257 10609
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