Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
338 FNUS73 KAPX 291558 FWSAPX Spot Forecast for Fairview Opening RX...USFS National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1158 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 30. If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Recent rains will keep afternoon humidity values around the 40s Tuesday afternoon. Breezy west to north west 20ft winds around 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts will subside Tuesday evening and turn south overnight. A cold front will likely pass through Wednesday morning brining slight chances for brief rain early, however drier air will likely move in behind causing afternoon humidities Wednesday to dip into the 40s or 30s. Breezy west to north west winds right behind the front. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Max temperature.....Around 63. Min humidity........45 percent. 20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 13 mph with gusts up to 18 mph. Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph. Mixing height.......2900-4800 ft AGL. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Fair to good (493.0-740.0). TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........57 58 60 67 69 65 61 57 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............55 57 58 59 60 61 61 61 RH..............74 67 62 60 55 52 50 45 20 ft wind dir..W W W W W W W W 20 ft wind spd..7 10 10 10 10 13 13 13 20 ft wind gust.0 0 15 15 15 18 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 3.5 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.6 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.17 16 15 15 16 16 15 14 Vrate kt-ft.....493 566 561 625 706 740 719 630 Ventrate Cat....FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....Around 38. Max humidity........100 percent. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening becoming light. Transport winds.....West 5 to 12 mph shifting to the south 5 to 8 mph overnight. Mixing height.......2000-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1500 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (21.0-460.0). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........52 47 42 33 23 14 21 27 34 36 38 40 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............59 58 56 53 51 48 46 44 42 40 40 40 RH..............52 55 59 65 69 77 84 91 96 100 100 100 20 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW S S S S S S 20 ft wind spd..10 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 20 ft wind gust.15 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 2.9 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 Transp wind dir.W W W W NW NW W SW S S S S Transp wind spd.12 10 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 7 8 Vrate kt-ft.....460 285 161 104 73 55 35 24 21 25 35 49 Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........33 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph early in the morning, then shifting to the west and increasing to 10 to 15 mph late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph shifting to the west 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL increasing to 3900-5700 ft AGL in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor to fair (55.0-430.0) increasing to good to very good (756.0-1238.0) in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........51 73 69 61 49 31 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............40 45 53 61 68 71 RH..............99 89 78 62 45 34 20 ft wind dir..S S S SW SW W 20 ft wind spd..6 6 6 10 10 15 20 ft wind gust.0 0 10 15 15 20 Mix hgt (ft)....600 700 700 2400 5100 5700 Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3 Transport wind..S 9 S 10 S 14 SW 18 W 21 W 22 Vrate kt-ft.....55 77 105 430 1047 1238 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR VYGD VYGD $$ Forecaster...ELD Requested by...Travis Wiltse Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412690.0/APX .DELDT 04/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL travis.a.wiltse@usda.gov