Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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000
WUUS01 KWNS 151956
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT MON APR 15 2024

VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   42809628 41699480 40589431 39319420 38739417 34999511
       32989641 32359750 31629921 31170097 31220162 31470181
       32220175 33490104 35020075 37270088 39550103 41140173
       41550221 41980285 42360323 42990345 43520311 43780268
       43900076 43769958 43499832 42809628
0.05   40980070 41980154 42480228 42720263 42990259 43230206
       43360133 43309955 42929754 42519641 40679511 39399527
       36069609 34109710 33459771 32529877 31940005 31960080
       32250126 32500125 33030106 33610056 34780005 35490007
       36500027 37020062 37700061 38460042 38850029 39220014
       39870030 40980070
0.10   37030020 37850030 38410020 39379972 40179980 41230038
       41710064 42020056 42210018 42169912 41989829 41469774
       40669753 40139760 39439774 38659798 38149824 37469885
       37029966 37030020
SIGN   37040020 37850030 38420020 39369972 40179977 40880018
       41690062 42010054 42210018 42159911 41969829 41469775
       40699754 39969765 39469776 38669799 38139825 37469885
       37029966 37040020
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   35397449 35637642 35807944 35888162 36228378 37799202
       37559263 35239393 33619530 32399686 31209897 30670039
       30480150 30510217 32250198 33580105 34810071 39580127
       40800201 41340334 42240436 43510490 44120493 45170438
       45740289 45750007 43849436 42489265 41449182 40849118
       39698863 39258646 39238443 39288273 39498087 39957593
       39607343
0.15   36510027 37010062 37670065 38490043 39770075 41090155
       41870271 42800375 43670428 44350367 44340226 44160016
       43689769 42979599 42209498 41069431 39309420 35799515
       33239713 31929915 31120100 31260180 32150180 33550070
       34780005 35470007 36510027
0.15   37478417 37658775 37968824 38308823 38488788 38788557
       38528355 38008362 37668381 37478417
0.15   35987520 36077638 36587851 36867901 37297914 37957877
       38637811 39127745 39207628 38877421
0.30   43220208 43420152 43459999 43339917 43069839 42369697
       41009600 39639581 38549670 37999780 37459886 37439947
       37589994 37870027 38420021 39329971 40239982 41130038
       41840108 42350196 42890264 43220208
SIGN   38479635 37409760 37159823 36979963 36890014 37020062
       37690064 38460041 39350038 39980049 41060129 41480175
       42480295 43300344 43900267 44050152 43869998 43479809
       42529641 41269559 39679546 38809606 38479635
SIGN   31340060 31370108 31780133 32490125 34589998 34619877
       34409783 33979702 33149737 31919917 31340060
SIGN   38528354 38048361 37638380 37498413 37648773 37968825
       38338820 38478788 38778557 38528354
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   35397452 35647644 35807953 35888166 36238386 37809201
       37609260 35259391 33619530 32409684 31219897 30680038
       30470152 30520217 32250195 33630103 35040073 39540127
       40800201 41340334 42220433 43530489 44120493 45170438
       45380307 44910086 43639728 43019597 42239486 41249426
       40959402 40269200 39238649 39248450 39288281 39488071
       39977594 39627347
0.15   33630054 34349970 34459881 34479809 34159736 33479771
       32609865 31909950 31200097 31410155 31910173 32410156
       33630054
0.15   38179750 37579835 37019960 36890014 37210048 37680061
       38410042 39270015 40780057 41580122 42180187 42720233
       43190201 43300079 43309955 43089863 42769775 42219717
       41529688 40409662 39479679 38639719 38179750
0.15   35967473 36077640 36237858 36568093 36878444 37668776
       37978823 38308823 38488785 38788558 38648175 38918059
       38997941 39097785 39207621 38907425
0.30   37737849 38357744 38827650 38837613 38577565 38507557
       38067567 37567593 37077622 36727721 36827777 37097835
       37427850 37737849
0.30   38899986 39329970 40269966 40959926 41159827 40799771
       39229812 38859866 38739948 38899986
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    36727725 36827779 37017817 37117836 37407848 37717848
       38097785 38417734 38817648 38857617 38607570 38487557
       38037567 37457598 37037623 36727725
ENH    43220208 43420152 43459999 43339917 43069839 42369697
       41009600 39639581 38549670 37029966 37030020 37850030
       38420021 39379972 40209982 41130038 41840108 42350196
       42890264 43220208
SLGT   35987520 36237858 36568093 36878444 37658775 37968824
       38308823 38488788 38788558 38648175 38918059 39217626
       38887421
SLGT   44350367 44340226 44160016 43689769 42979599 42209498
       41069431 39309420 35799515 33239713 31929915 31120100
       31260180 32150180 33550070 34780005 35470007 36500027
       37010062 37670065 38490043 39770075 41090155 41870271
       42800375 43670428 44350367
MRGL   35437484 35637642 35888166 36238386 37799202 37559263
       35259391 33619530 32409684 31209897 30670039 30470152
       30510217 32250198 33610104 35020075 39540127 40800201
       41340334 42240436 43510490 44120493 45170438 45740289
       45750007 43849436 42489265 41449182 40849118 39698863
       39258646 39288281 39977594 39617347
TSTM   29160232 29680259 30440277 32320206 33560118 34940094
       35820094 37130141 37390168 38350283 38610351 39290547
       37440680 36330882 36951030 37841208 38691268 39511332
       41481432 43341486 44271433 46911201 48560936 48560749
       48120728 47600650 47410478 48060318 48390232 48850173
       49450192 49549832 46169515 43189163 41698919 40408585
       39708315 39788054 40257708 39777227 99999999 34857438
       34897658 34768231 34948335 36248638 37299086 37109173
       36709215 36079229 35339266 33749440 31359635 30069817
       29639969 29510125 29100159

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE
RZZ 15 ENE AVC 25 NNW AVC 35 NNW AVC 40 E LYH 30 S CHO 35 E CHO 35
SSW DCA 30 SSE BWI 35 SE BWI 20 NNW SBY 10 NNW SBY 15 WNW WAL 40 NNE
ORF 10 N ORF 30 NE RZZ.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE
CDR 45 S PHP 40 WSW 9V9 30 SSE 9V9 45 NNE ONL 30 W SUX 20 SSW OMA 30
SSW FNB 30 WNW EMP 55 SSE DDC 40 E LBL 20 WNW DDC 45 NE GCK HLC 40 E
MCK 15 E LBF 15 S MHN 50 ENE AIA 25 E CDR 60 ENE CDR.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE
HSE 30 NNE RDU 40 SSW PSK 25 SW LOZ 30 SSW EVV 40 W EVV 35 E MVN 35
NNW EVV 40 N SDF 20 NNW CRW 40 W EKN 20 E BWI 45 SSE ACY.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW
RAP 40 WNW PHP 15 SSE PIR 20 ESE MHE 45 NNE SUX 25 NE DNS 35 NNW LWD
25 ENE MKC 15 NE MKO 30 NNW DAL 15 NW BWD 35 WSW SJT 55 SSE MAF 20
WSW BGS 65 E LBB 25 NNE CDS 50 WNW CSM 55 SE LBL 20 E LBL 20 SSE GCK
40 NNE GCK 30 SSW MCK 40 N IML 15 SSE AIA 35 W CDR 65 WSW RAP 35 NW
RAP.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE
HSE 45 SSW ECG 20 NW HKY 30 NNE TYS TBN 30 WSW TBN 25 ESE FSM 10 E
PRX 30 S DAL 40 S BWD 40 WNW JCT 50 NE 6R6 35 N 6R6 25 NNE MAF 45 E
LBB 50 NNW CDS 25 ENE GLD 30 NW IML 25 NW SNY 15 NW TOR 60 NNE DGW
35 ESE GCC 50 WSW 2WX 35 ENE 2WX 25 NE MBG 15 NNE FRM 15 WSW ALO 30
S CID BRL 15 SE DEC 10 NE BMG 30 W UNI 25 NW ILG 55 ESE NEL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S 6R6 35 SW 6R6 35
SSE FST 25 NNE MAF 35 E LBB 50 ESE AMA 25 ENE BGD 25 WNW LBL 30 NNE
EHA 20 NNW LAA 40 N LHX 45 SW DEN 50 W ALS 45 SW FMN 45 SSE U17 10
NNE BCE 25 NE MLF 45 WNW U24 55 NNW ENV 30 WSW SUN 55 N SUN 20 N HLN
20 E HVR 45 WNW GGW 30 WSW GGW 45 S GGW 20 N GDV 20 ESE ISN 50 W MOT
45 NNW MOT 85 NNW MOT 85 NW HCO 25 NNE AXN 50 SSW LSE 35 NW MMO 25
WNW MIE 25 SW CMH 30 SSE HLG 15 W CXY 85 SSE ISP ...CONT... 75 ESE
HSE 30 ESE EWN 10 SSW GSP 45 NW AND 20 ENE BNA 40 SW FAM 25 NNE UNO
15 WSW UNO 15 SE FLP 25 ENE RUE 20 S DEQ 45 S CRS 25 NNW BAZ 35 WNW
HDO 20 WNW DRT 45 WSW DRT.



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