Text Products for FWS Issued by EPZ

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
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FNUS74 KEPZ 120207
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Gattons Park Rx...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
807 PM MDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on April 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Short term forecast shows continued dry and warm through Sunday with
afternoon breezes. Very low min humidity will keep fire danger elevated.
Stronger winds combining with these low humidities on Monday could cross
over into critical fire conditions. Temperatures will warm to well
above normal through Sunday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......10900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 22 mph increasing to around 27 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19900 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (214100 knot-ft) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........13     9      8      8      18
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............51     61     68     73     74
RH..............24     23     18     14     13
20 ft wind......SE 6   S 9    S 13   S 13   S 15
20 ft wind gust.10     20     26     26     28
Mix hgt (ft)....1500   9600   9600   10900  10900
Transport wind..SE 14  S 22   S 22   S 27   S 27
Haines index....4      4      4      5      5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20     214    214    284    284
Ventrate Cat....POOR   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph shifting to the west around 5 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......11100 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 24 mph shifting to the west
                    around 11 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (266500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (6200 knot-ft) in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........35     35     4      3      3      3
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............70     58     52     49     45     42
RH..............15     23     28     32     36     43
20 ft wind......SW 15  SW 15  SW 14  W 10   W 10   W 5
20 ft wind gust.28     28     26     21     21     12
Mix hgt (ft)....11100  11100  600    600    500    500
Transport wind..SW 24  SW 24  W 17   W 17   W 11   W 11
Haines index....5      4      4      4      3      3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..267    267    9      9      6      6
Ventrate Cat....EXNT   EXNT   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 10 to 14 mph with
                    gusts to around 23 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph increasing to 22 to 27 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32400 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (152500 knot-ft) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........3         5         10        10
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............40        53        65        71
RH..............48        32        19        13
20 FT wind......W 3G7     W 7G18    SW 12G20  SW 13G23
Mix hgt (ft)....2700      2700      7200      8000
Transport wind..W 11      W 11      W 22      W 27
Haines index....3         4         3         4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32        32        153       183
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      EXNT      EXNT

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 11 mph.
.MONDAY...
Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds around 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds
around 11 mph.

$$
Forecaster...HEFNER
Requested by...Maurice Cruz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410435.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Maurice.cruz@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
