Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Glasgow, MT

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453
FXUS65 KGGW 271306
AFDGGW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
706 AM MDT Sat Apr 27 2024

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGES:

- Dry conditions are expected through the weekend but lighter
  winds will decrease fire weather concerns.

- Strong winds and rain expected on Tuesday with a shift in the
  weather pattern.

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

Slight upper ridge remains over Montana as a series of low
pressure systems spin through the central Rockies and lift across
the Plains toward the upper Midwest. This will keep northeast
Montana generally warm and dry through the weekend.

A more zonal pattern next week is still favored by the ensembles
into next week with a series of shortwaves leading to a more
progressive weather pattern and thus the potential for showers at
times. Strongest shortwave will push through on Monday night into
Tuesday.

CONFIDENCE AND POTENTIAL DEVIATIONS FROM BASE FORECAST:

Predictability for shower chances is improving for early next
week, with good agreement on wave pushing through the state Monday
night into Tuesday. Strong winds are also a possibility on Tuesday
with cold air advection and tight pressure gradient.

&&

.AVIATION...
Mostly VFR will continue through tonight, with some low clouds
near the North Dakota border this morning, then mid level clouds
moving into the region.

&&

.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

weather.gov/glasgow