Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 011922
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
322 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

...RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH
THIS EVENING, BEFORE DISSIPATING OVERNIGHT. SOME FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH THE MOIST CONDITIONS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

THE AREA SHOULD SEE DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS MOVE IN FOR MONDAY
AND INTO MID-WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL COME TOWARD
THURSDAY WITH THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVING TOWARD THE AREA.




MIZ037>039-043>045-020815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
322 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.14 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3800-4300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-020815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
322 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.16 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-020815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
322 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4600-5100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4700-5200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-020815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
322 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-020815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
322 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.



$$



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