Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 060708
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
308 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF DRY WEATHER SOUTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE RISK FOR WILD FIRES.

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS
EVENING INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS OF TUESDAY. THIS RAIN SHOULD BRING
ALL AREAS SOME MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. THE RAIN WILL END FROM WEST
TO EAST DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.


MIZ037>039-043>045-062015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
308 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 86-91 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
   24 HR TREND......
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 41-46
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
   24 HR TREND......
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    600-1100 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.75 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2600-3100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-062015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
308 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0200. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2300. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.44 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 1100
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.16 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-062015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
308 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5000-5500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    THUNDERSTORMS WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1800-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    500-1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.60 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4500-5000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.21 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-062015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
308 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.40 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 1100
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AROUND 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.30 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-062015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
308 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.23 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AFTER 1100
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.39 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
7 TO 12 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$

WDM



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