Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 202008
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
408 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

...Warm...Dry and Breezy on Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...
The warm and dry weather will continue through Saturday with highs
well into the 70s Saturday afternoon. Rain will sweep through the
area on Sunday with totals of 0.25 to 0.50 along a cold front. The
potential for heavier rain is increasing for Monday and Tuesday as
a deep fall storm is forecast by some of the models.

MIZ037>039-043>045-210830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
408 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-75 percent near Lake Michigan and 61-66
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 24
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.35 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-210830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
408 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.18 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-210830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
408 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good) increasing to 800 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.28 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-210830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
408 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.24 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-210830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
408 PM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers in the evening, then a chance
of showers overnight. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then
a chance of showers overnight. Lows around 40. Northwest winds 6 to
11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds 6 to
11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s.

$$


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