Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 221923
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
323 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...Colder temperatures on the way for the next few days...

.DISCUSSION...An unseasonably strong cold front has brought in much cooler air
than normal for this time of years.  High and low temperatures will run about
10 degrees below normal. We could have some instability showers on Thursday. Cold
naif funnels are also possible Thursday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
323 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 5300-5800 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 5000-5500 ft AGL decreasing to
                    2500-3000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 1 percent
                    drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7200-7700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4700-5200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair) until midday.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
323 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-500 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL decreasing to 1800-2300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor) until midday.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
323 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 5200-5700 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 5000-5500 ft AGL decreasing to
                    800-1300 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming west around 5
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....400-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 4400-4900 ft AGL decreasing
                    to 2400-2900 ft AGL overnight.
Mixing height....... inland, 5700-6200 ft AGL decreasing to
                    700-1200 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor) until midday.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
323 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good) decreasing to 0 (poor) overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7700-8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor) until midday.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
323 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming southwest
                    around 5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7900-8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL decreasing to 1200-1700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor) until midday.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds
5 to 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 5 to 8 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. East winds 5 to
6 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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