Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 281823
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
223 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

...SHOWERS...

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER INDIANA WILL PRODUCE NUMEROUS
SHOWERS ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL REMAIN
IN THE MID 60S.




MIZ037>039-043>045-290815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
223 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT THEN 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1900-2400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.31 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-290815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
223 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.13 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.41 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-290815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
223 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.26 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.17 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.15 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.29 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-290815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
223 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.27 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 27 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.23 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 26 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.24 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.51 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-290815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
223 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.47 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1700...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.38 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.36 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
                    UNTIL MIDDAY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.48 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
UP TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
8 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.



$$



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