Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 200611
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
211 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

...THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. LINGERING SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY. THEN A LONG
PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER WITH NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL LAST INTO FRIDAY.




MIZ037>039-043>045-202015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
211 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    1400...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1800-2300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    2300. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    PATCHY FOG. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1300-1800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.26 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH AROUND
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-202015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
211 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.35 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.14 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-202015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
211 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3300-3800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.38-0.61 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    2300. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 2300 UNTIL 0200.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1200-1700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.13 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5000-5500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-202015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
211 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.29-0.42 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    0200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.15 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-202015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
211 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.57 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.19 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.14 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.



$$

WDM




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