Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 270627
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
227 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVING SOUTH THROUGH LOWER
MICHIGAN TODAY INTO FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
TO THE AREA THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY.


MIZ037>039-043>045-272015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
227 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0800.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 50-55
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 13
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    3600-4100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...0-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-8400
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR) INCREASING TO 1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.13 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...800-1300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    500-1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.28 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7300-7800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.27 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-272015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
227 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0800.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000-12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR) INCREASING TO 1400-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.13 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.15 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.31 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-272015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
227 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 48-53
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...0-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    4300-4800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...0-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR) INCREASING TO 600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7500-8000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.37 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-272015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
227 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10600-11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR) INCREASING TO 1300-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.11 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.47 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-272015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
227 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300-10800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0 (POOR) INCREASING TO 700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-8700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.40 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.

$$

WDM



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