Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
483 FNUS53 KGRR 031920 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 ...Drying Out Tonight... .DISCUSSION...A cold front will continue advancing east through the state later this afternoon pushing the moisture east of the region. This will allow for the atmosphere to dry out. Other than some patchy fog or low clouds to start the day Saturday, sunshine will be on the increase leading to increasing mixing as the temperatures climb. By evening though, we could see some moisture increasing and an isolated shower or thunderstorm may form. MIZ037>039-043>045-040815- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min temperature.....40-45. 24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....80-90 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Max temperature.....73-78. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4700-5200 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....620-890 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 AM. Chance of rain showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. Min temperature.....44-49. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South winds around 6 mph shifting to the northwest around 9 mph overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the northwest overnight. Smoke dispersal.....120-240 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.30 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max temperature.....57-62 near Lake Michigan and 65-70 Inland. 24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 11 degrees cooler Inland. Min humidity........51-56 percent near Lake Michigan and 37-42 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 9 percent drier Inland. 20-foot winds.......North winds 9 to 14 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4600-5100 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....470-540 (good). Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ040-046-040815- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min temperature.....40-45. 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....70-100 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....Around 74. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........48-53 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....380-570 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain showers until 2 AM, then rain showers likely. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....48-53. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the west around 8 mph overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the northwest overnight. Smoke dispersal.....80-250 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.22 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 2 PM, then sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....Around 69. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........37-42 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....490-580 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-040815- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min temperature.....47-52. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-70 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of rain showers after 5 PM. Chance of pcpn......20 percent late in the day. Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 9 mph shifting to the south around 7 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4700-5200 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....430-580 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers likely until 2 AM. Chance of rain showers after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....47-52. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest around 9 mph overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the northwest overnight. Smoke dispersal.....70-210 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.24 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 2 PM, then sunny (10-20 percent). Max temperature.....67-72. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Min humidity........43-48 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4300-4800 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....420-490 (good). Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-040815- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Min temperature.....46-51. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....70-130 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Max temperature.....76-81. 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. Min humidity........45-50 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL increasing to 4900-5400 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....350-610 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....52-57. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......South winds around 7 mph shifting to the west around 8 mph overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the northwest overnight. Smoke dispersal.....80-200 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.18 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 2 PM, then sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....Around 71. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........36-41 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....470-560 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-040815- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 320 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 5 AM, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Min temperature.....Around 53. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....110-130 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Max temperature.....76-81. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....390-570 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Min temperature.....54-59. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 7 mph shifting to the west overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the west overnight. Smoke dispersal.....110-120 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.22 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers until 5 PM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 72. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....330-460 (good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. East winds 8 to 13 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds 9 to 14 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely until midday, then showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 9 to 14 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 70. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 50. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. $$