Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 270706
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
306 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...Significant Heavy Rain Possible this weekend...

.DISCUSSION...Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected
with the cold front this morning but then it should dry out
for this afternoon into Friday.  Some light rain is possible
Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Then it will largely be
dry Saturday morning into Saturday evening. It is from Saturday
into Monday when we will see rain, heavy at times with some
thunderstorms. The rain Saturday night into Sunday could cause
some flooding.


MIZ037>039-043>045-272015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
306 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 1300. chance of rain
                    showers until 1700.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....52-57 near Lake Michigan AND around 61 inland.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan AND 14
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Min humidity........66-71 percent near Lake Michigan AND 57-62
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter near Lake Michigan AND 18
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to
                    around 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    4000-4500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.16 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0300, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph decreasing to around 20
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1800, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    5600-6100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-272015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
306 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400. scattered thunderstorms.
                    rain showers likely after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 18 to 23 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1800-2100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.15 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0300, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1800, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-272015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
306 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 0900. scattered thunderstorms
                    until 1400. chance of rain showers after 0900
                    until 1400.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 18 to 23 mph with gusts to
                    around 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500-1700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.11 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph becoming southwest around 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1600, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to south
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-272015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
306 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms and a chance of rain showers
                    until 1500.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 19 to 24 mph with gusts to
                    around 35 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.11 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0300, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 30 mph becoming southwest around 20
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 1700, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-272015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
306 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms and a chance of rain showers
                    until 1500.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to
                    around 31 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600-1700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1300 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and scattered
thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers
overnight. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting
to the north 5 to 10 mph overnight.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s.
North winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain
and thunderstorms overnight. Lows around 40. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds
13 to 18 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. South
winds 11 to 16 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s. Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 40.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.



$$



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