Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 181949
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
348 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

...WARM AND DRY THIS WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER MAY DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND AS
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL TO 30 PERCENT OR LESS WITH WINDS
AROUND 10-15 MPH. FIRES COULD SPREAD EASILY SINCE GREEN UP HAS NOT
YET OCCURRED AND THE FINE FUELS ON THE GROUND ARE DRY EVEN THOUGH
SOILS ARE MOIST FROM RECENT RAINS.

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS NORTH
OF GRAND RAPIDS ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY OTHERWISE EXPECT PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE OVER THE WEEKEND.


MIZ037>039-043>045-190815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
348 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1700-2200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    600-1100 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 67-72 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 9
                    DEGREES WARMER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3500-4000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-190815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
348 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-190815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
348 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-190815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
348 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-190815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
348 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S.

$$

MEADE







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