Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 211931
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
331 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

...Rain on the Way on Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...
Rain will move into Lower Michigan on Sunday afternoon as a cold
front slowly advances east. Low pressure moving north along the
front will bring some heavier rain Monday afternoon and Monday
night before windy and cool weather arrives on Tuesday and
Wednesday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-220815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
331 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400. rain showers after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3800-4300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.31 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.43 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent near Lake Michigan and 54-59
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......
   24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.44 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-220815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
331 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 1800, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1300 until 1600, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1400 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.20 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph becoming west around 10 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.32 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 8 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.37-0.45 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-220815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
331 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0900 until 1500, then rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) increasing to 1400 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.25 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.31 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.66 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-220815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
331 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 1900, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 1000 until 1600, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1400 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph becoming west around 15 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.28 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the west
                    around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.32-0.62 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-220815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
331 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) increasing to 1500 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 0200, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph becoming west around 15 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.21 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 7 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.49-0.73 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
West winds 8 to 13 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with showers. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds
9 to 14 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Numerous showers in the evening, then
scattered showers overnight. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers until midday. Highs in
the upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest up to 5 mph overnight.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 50s.

$$



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