Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 211855
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
255 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...Showers and thunderstorms late tonight into early Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...A low pressure system and cold front will cause
rain and thunderstorms to develop late tonight into early Tuesday.
It will turn breezy and much cooler Tuesday afternoon through
midweek.


MIZ037>039-043>045-220815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
255 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2200, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. showers.
                    thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1900-2400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.46-0.71 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1900, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 1100. showers likely until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5400-5900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) increasing to 1600 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.28 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) decreasing to 500 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 44-49
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6800-7300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-220815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
255 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. showers.
                    thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL decreasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.36-0.48 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1600, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely until 1100. showers likely until 1400.
                    thunderstorms likely after 1100 until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) increasing to 1700 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.28 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-220815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
255 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. showers.
                    thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2100-2600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.28-0.70 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.32 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 4700-5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4100-4600 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6900-7400 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-220815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
255 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. showers.
                    thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 1800-2300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.24-0.59 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1700, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely until 1100. showers likely until 1400.
                    thunderstorms likely after 1100 until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL increasing to 6200-6700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent) increasing to 1800 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.33 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-220815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
255 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. showers.
                    thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 1800-2300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.48 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) increasing to 1500 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.25-0.34 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) decreasing to 0 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast
winds 5 to 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds 5 to
6 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$


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