Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 170732
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
332 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

...A FEW SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING THAT MAY MIX WITH A FEW WET
SNOW FLAKES ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT. THE NEXT BETTER
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL NOT COME UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY BUT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THAT SYSTEM WILL BE QUITE LIGHT ALSO.




MIZ037>039-043>045-172030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
332 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6300-6800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1900 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1100-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4300-4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    1500-2000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 45-50 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 5
                    DEGREES COOLER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-172030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
332 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1600 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-172030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
332 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6400-6900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1900 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1200-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4500-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    1000-1500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-172030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
332 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1800 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-172030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
332 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS 7 TO
12 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.



$$






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