Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 261903
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
303 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

...SEASONABLY COOL WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING...

.DISCUSSION...IT WILL SEASONABLY COOL THIS WEEK AND AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND
SHOWERS TONIGHT THROUGH MIDWEEK.




MIZ037>039-043>045-270815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
303 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4700-5200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1600...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 1000 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.14 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1900-2400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.18 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-270815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
303 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR) INCREASING TO 700 (EXCELLENT)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1600...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 1200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-270815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
303 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 81-86
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 24
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...6900-7400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3300-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    5700-6200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2100-2400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6600-7100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2200-2600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3700-4200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.37 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-270815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
303 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2200-2600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.22 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200-6700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-270815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
303 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2400-2600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.22 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.



$$



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