Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 010731
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
331 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

...CHANCE OF SHOWERS...

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH BY THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THEN
INCREASE AGAIN TONIGHT AS ANOTHER LOW MOVES TOWARD LOWER MICHIGAN.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL TODAY AND MONDAY.




MIZ037>039-043>045-012015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
331 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    UNTIL MIDDAY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5100-5600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1900-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4800-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    600-1100 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 36-41
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 27
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7600-8100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-012015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
331 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-012015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
331 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF DRIZZLE
                    UNTIL 1100. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1800-2300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    600-1100 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.39 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 39-44
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 23
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7100-7600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-012015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
331 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY THEN PRECIPITATION
20 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.18 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-012015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
331 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF DRIZZLE
                    UNTIL 1100. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.46 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 7 TO
12 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 8 TO
13 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.



$$



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