Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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821
FNUS53 KGRR 181956
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
356 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

...Scattered showers Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...Rain showers will slowly move north out of Indiana
late tonight, reaching to about I-96 by daybreak Tuesday. This rain
is expected to continue to drift north on Tuesday, but gradually dry
up by the time it reach Central Lower. The steadiest rains can be
expected toward the Lansing and Jackson areas. Another period of
scattered showers and possible thunderstorms will move in Wednesday
night. This rain is largely expected to fall over Central Lower. Much
of the remainder of the week appears fairly dry.

After a cooler day on Tuesday with highs in the low to mid 70s, we
will see temperatures mainly 80 to 85 for the rest of the week.


MIZ037>039-043>045-190815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
356 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........82-87 percent near Lake Michigan and 91-96
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......
   24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........64-69 percent near Lake Michigan and 48-53
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 19
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0500, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80 near Lake Michigan and around 83 inland.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 8
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........62-67 percent near Lake Michigan and 54-59
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5800-6300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-190815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
356 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-190815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
356 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0300. chance of thunderstorms
                    after 0400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1400. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-71 percent near Lake Michigan and 58-63
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 21
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-190815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
356 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 0600, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.32 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0700, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-190815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
356 PM EDT Mon Sep 18 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0300, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0300.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.42 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southeast
winds 5 to 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. South winds 5 to
8 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

$$



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