Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 230735
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
335 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...HOT AND DRY TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...

ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL HELP TO CREATE A HOT DAY TODAY.  LIMITED
MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE FOR CLOUDS OR SHOWERS AS WELL.
TONIGHT WE START TO MOISTEN UP...ESPECIALLY LATE.  THIS IS WHEN
A RISK FOR STORMS WILL INCREASE.  A COLD FRONT DOES NOT PUSH
THROUGH UNTIL LATE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT...THUS A FEW STORMS
COULD BE AROUND UNTIL THEN.




MIZ037>039-043>045-232030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
335 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG UNTIL
                    0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND AROUND 92 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 3
                    DEGREES WARMER INLAND.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 31-36
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 12
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8100-8600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5800-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.34 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 59-64
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 30
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.38 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-232030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
335 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG UNTIL
                    0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100-9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.40 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-232030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
335 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG UNTIL
                    0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 33-38
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 12
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7600-8100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...700-1200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.28 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 56-61
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 18
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7400-7900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.58 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-232030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
335 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG UNTIL
                    0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.37 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-232030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
335 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG UNTIL
                    0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100-9600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1300 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0700...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8300-8800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1600 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.40 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO
12 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
7 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.



$$


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