Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 021956
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
356 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

...RAIN RETURNS TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MOST OF TUESDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE DRIFTS SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL TOUCH
OFF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AS IT SWEEPS SOUTH
THROUGH THE STATE. CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL LINGER WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEAR NORMAL ON TUESDAY AND FALL TO BELOW NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.


MIZ037>039-043>045-030815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
356 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...200-700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...7000-7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    1200-1700 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8600-9100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700-1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3000-3500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 500 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.29 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4000-4500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-030815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
356 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900-10400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700-2000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200-2700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 500 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.19 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-030815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
356 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...6500-7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 36-41
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 8
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8200-8700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2800-3300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4500-5000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-030815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
356 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100-9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1800 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900-2400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.24 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.20 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-030815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
356 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100-9600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.24 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.29 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 9 TO
14 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...WARMER...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.



$$



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